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March 12 -14 Potential Storm


NEG NAO

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rain for everyone in the forum

Hideous run for everyone.

 

Let's see what the ensembles say later.  This was an interesting run.  Maybe the Polar Vortex and can south a bit more and help us out.  

We need it to bomb out further south and east.

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It isn't like the models are going back and forth from a snowy solution to rain.  It has been pretty clear that this is likely a wet event for anywhere near the coast for a few days.

 

Terrible run for the coast. The interior is crushed. O well, more runs to go. Model mayhem.

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It isn't like the models are going back and forth from a snowy solution to rain.  It has been pretty clear that this is likely a wet event for anywhere near the coast for a few days.

No it hasn't. We need a weak storm if the coast wants to see snow and a lot of the GFS members show that. The Ukie also shows that.

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GGEM too i guess I ?  I'm surprised you don't think there is a clear trend as we get closer to this storm.

No there isn't at all. Still many more model runs to go and many more solutions are possible. If we get a weak storm, this will be snow for the area  but if it is phased, this will be a mix or rain to possibly snow. It depends on the track also.

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