PB GFI Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 About 99% of the posts I make to this board are ignored...while "OMG will they close the schools???" get 37 replies on average...so I assume no one's looking that closely anyhow. Nah ur stuff is never ignored. Ur great my man. Just was trying to sift through model stuff. I like upton s 2 to 4. Will add to the totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 But RPM also showed 30 inches for the phantom S.B storm- so there u go!it was about 50 - 75 miles too far west, otherwise it would have nailed that. Anyway, it's been performing well this year. But it better inside 24h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Here's the 18z RGEM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Pb rgem show anything for nyc or long island?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 The GFS appeared to spit out the most QPF it has in about 8 runs I didnt see the temps though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Here's the 18z RGEM: Looks a lot like the RPM, except RPM bombs the secondary a bit further south and nails the coast more so than NW of i95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Nah ur stuff is never ignored. Ur great my man. Just was trying to sift through model stuff. I like upton s 2 to 4. Will add to the totals It was nothing personal pal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Looks a lot like the RPM, except RPM bombs the secondary a bit further south and nails the coast more so than NW of i95. Queens is not SE of I95? Rgem nails northern Queens and Manhattan/Bronx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Queens is not SE of I95? Rgem nails northern Queens and Manhattan/Bronx. haha, you know what I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Here's the 18z RGEM: Don that's weird...the weatherbell snow maps from that same run give NW areas 2-4 and a small area in NE NJ 4-6....and NYC 2-3 or so. I wonder why the discrepancy Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Don that's weird...the weatherbell snow maps from that same run give NW areas 2-4 and a small area in NE NJ 4-6....and NYC 2-3 or so. I wonder why the discrepancy Sent from my iPhone Don's map is not snow accumulation. It's the amount of total precip that has fallen as snow. Not how much has accumulated. How much of it would stick, depends on temps. That's why I think meteocentre's maps are the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Don's map is not snow accumulation. It's the amount of total precip that has fallen as snow. Not how much has accumulated. How much of it would stick, depends on temps. That's why I think meteocentre's maps are the best. Yeah, but I find it weird then....NW areas get more precip as snow, yet less accumulation. SE areas get less precip as snow and more accumulation? If anything, it'd usually be opposite, except if the model is picking up on some kind of banding with dynamic cooling...I doubt itUpdate : it makes sense. I didn't realize that NENJ is the jackpot on this map. It does go along with weatherbell's map. There's just such a sharp cutoff that I missed it Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Don's map is not snow accumulation. It's the amount of total precip that has fallen as snow. Not how much has accumulated. How much of it would stick, depends on temps. That's why I think meteocentre's maps are the best. Are you positive on that? I find it odd that a precip map would cut totals right on the I-95 line, that seems something a snow map would do... EDIT: I misread you, it makes sense that snow could fall and not accumulate, woops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Are you positive on that? I find it odd that a precip map would cut totals right on the I-95 line, that seems something a snow map would do...That's a snow map posted above. Here's 18z RGEM precip map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 That's a snow map posted above. Here's 18z RGEM precip map. Figured that, it didn't sound or look right compared to what I saw on precip maps. Thanks. I also just realized he said that map is snow that has fallen not nec. accumulated, got it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Also, I agree with ag3, the meteocentre snowfall maps have been pretty spot on for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Figured that, it didn't sound or look right compared to what I saw on precip maps. Thanks.no worries, its great site for free maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 21z SREF is wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 That's a snow map posted above. Here's 18z RGEM precip map. It's not a snow on the ground map. It's a map showing how much precip has fallen as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 It's not a snow on the ground map. It's a map showing how much precip falls as snow. Correct snowfall as in falling map. Anyway SREFs are bit colder as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Lol, just picked up about 1/2" tonight, it never ends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 21z SREF is wetter http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=sref&area=namer&cycle=20140216%2021%20UTC¶m=precip_p24&fourpan=no&imageSize= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Pretty significant changes on the NAM so far, the shortwave is more south & more potent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 NAM closes off at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 NAM closes off at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 NAM still not digging as far as the GFS/RGEM, but it took a big step towards them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 We wouldn't want the NAM to close off that far W IMO, need a bit more digging first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 H5 vortmax is going to end up north of our area, that's not a good setup for us Not too thrilled with this event tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 The NAM actually took a nice step at h5 for certain folks. There is becoming more support for a secondary low to spawn off of the MD/DE coast again and track NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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