Gravity Wave Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 New RAP is coming out now. By 9 PM the band is set up along a Newark, DE - Reading - Allentown - Sparta NJ line, where it stays through at least midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pohopoco Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Over to Snow...26dgs...Penn Forest Twsp... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 00z RAP a touch farther west with the heaviest band, primarily along ChesCo/Berks/Lehigh showing enhanced precip .25"+ for 2-3 hours after 10pm, .1"+ on either side covering adjacent counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 New RAP is coming out now. By 9 PM the band is set up along a Newark, DE - Reading - Allentown - Sparta NJ line, where it stays through at least midnight. No surprise. Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Damnit Rib the afternoon mesoscale models failed us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 sleet, temp rising, 31.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Sleet now in DYL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Temp bumped up a bit to 33.3F but still seem to be getting ZR here. Hope I flip to IP or snow soon, everything is starting to get glazed with ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 14, 2014 Author Share Posted February 14, 2014 Damnit Rib the afternoon mesoscale models failed us Yeah, Pazzo was right in the NYC thread about the models being 50 miles too far East. Lets see if we can get anything at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Damnit Rib the afternoon mesoscale models failed us Philly still gets in on some nice precip. The entire region is covered with 30+ DBZ from now until midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarthDoppler Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Ripping snow in the hills of West Caln Ditto in the hills of Hereford/Longswamp. Anyone think I'm out of line with thinking some locations end up with another 8"+? I was out shoveling haven't had a chance to see what people are thinking on accumulations. (I saw one map with 4-8.......looks to me like we might get the high end or even slightly more) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 sleet, temp rising, 31.5 I feel your pain...or is that ping? Either way, hoping we can flip over to snow soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Finally a tick down, now to 33.5 and lite snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 14, 2014 Author Share Posted February 14, 2014 The HRR had the band of snow currently sitting over Allentown/Reading/Lancaster sitting over PHL-NYC a couple of hours ago. This is an unbelievable failure by all of the short term hi res models but that's what convection can do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Heavy snow in Allentown. Gonna be a long night looking at the radar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 New RAP is coming out now. By 9 PM the band is set up along a Newark, DE - Reading - Allentown - Sparta NJ line, where it stays through at least midnight. post it if you can pls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Heavy rain with occasional lightning and thunder in belle mead....hopefully the rain takes up alot of qpf and we see little additional snow we certainly do not need it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The HRR had the band of snow currently sitting over Allentown/Reading/Lancaster sitting over PHL-NYC a couple of hours ago. This is an unbelievable failure by all of the short term hi res models but that's what convection can do. I told you the HRRR has been too far SE all storm, it did it overnight last night as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I feel your pain...or is that ping? Either way, hoping we can flip over to snow soon. crazy layers in 24" snow pack now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I told you the HRRR has been too far SE all storm, it did it overnight last night as well. in fairness it is really a western move more than anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardlover Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 New RAP is coming out now. By 9 PM the band is set up along a Newark, DE - Reading - Allentown - Sparta NJ line, where it stays through at least midnight. It's 10 minutes to 9 and I'm right near Newark, and I'm not sure it's going to be here that quickly. That said, it has to come east and when it gets here it'll be fun, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattMal88 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Dry slot round 2 in ne philly. Doesn't look to last too long per radar. If we see another couple inches of snow ill be happy. Everything is shoveled already so I won't be too sad if we only get minor accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 post it if you can pls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's 10 minutes to 9 and I'm right near Newark, and I'm not sure it's going to be here that quickly. That said, it has to come east and when it gets here it'll be fun, Problem is it is going more NNE than E...it is bringing its VVs with it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 14, 2014 Author Share Posted February 14, 2014 I told you the HRRR has been too far SE all storm, it did it overnight last night as well. The 4k NAM failed as well. So did the RGEM. Pretty much every single short term model failed. Unless something unbelievable happens, this proves my theory about models not being able to handle convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 That map is skewed with what has already fallen since 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Not understanding why temps are going in the wrong direction. At least the precip is getting better. Transition from heavy rain to light sleet in Newark Delaware.....temp risen about half a degree in the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 still a pretty good hit for I-95 folks too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's 10 minutes to 9 and I'm right near Newark, and I'm not sure it's going to be here that quickly. That said, it has to come east and when it gets here it'll be fun, I am just south of Newark DE and I am waiting for it too. Just hope we can get rid of these mixing issues soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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