ROOSTA Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Having a topic for those whom have a flare for graphics. A picture paints a thousand words: My take for the SQL snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Nice spelling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Don, you are quite the weenie...lol. jk... I am thinking those amounts are quite high, but I hope you are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 You said the exact same thing last storm Dave. I think its a neat thread in part not clutter the main topics or have a map posted just to get lost. I've been on a roll this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 You said the exact same thing last storm Dave. I think its a neat thread in part not clutter the main topics or have a map posted just to get lost. I've been on a roll this year! I was right I think...lol. I don't have the knack to make a map on the computer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 11-14 for my backyard. Where do I sign? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 My snow map. Some insight into why: I will admit...I do think that the lower end of my ranges are more likely to verify than the upper ranges...so why did I not introduce lower totals? Well given the makeup of this storm slight shifts could vastly impact totals, both for upper ends and lower ends and I feel like introducing ranges up to higher amounts "protects" me if we see any slight shifts east or for the locations where the heaviest banding occurs. I am worried about dry slot issues as well...hence why I am leaning towards thinking the lower end ranges will verify. Anyways...where the heaviest banding does occur and under the CCB...I think some spots will definitely reach upwards of 1.5' of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 My snow map. Some insight into why: I will admit...I do think that the lower end of my ranges are more likely to verify than the upper ranges...so why did I not introduce lower totals? Well given the makeup of this storm slight shifts could vastly impact totals, both for upper ends and lower ends and I feel like introducing ranges up to higher amounts "protects" me if we see any slight shifts east or for the locations where the heaviest banding occurs. I am worried about dry slot issues as well...hence why I am leaning towards thinking the lower end ranges will verify. Anyways...where the heaviest banding does occur and under the CCB...I think some spots will definitely reach upwards of 1.5' of snow. Nice map wiz, having a good range seems like the way to go in this storm, slight shifts will have a big sensible wx impact as you've already noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Nice map wiz, having a good range seems like the way to go in this storm, slight shifts will have a big sensible wx impact as you've already noted. I tried not to make unreasonable ranges...like go with something like 3-8'' or 6-12''...those big ranges don't really offer much insight for people. I know when people see something like an 8-12 or 16-20 they automatically assume they will be seeing totals closer to the higher end range but I think it is appropriate in this case to give a range, despite believing the lower side will verify, only b/c of the implications of a slight shift. Also, I think at this point, if anything, a track slightly east is more likely than any track slightly west of the most west guidance. I will admit though...I am VERY worried about a dry slot and really banking on some HEFTY snowfall rates we will see with this. When it comes down it's going to really rip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Welcome to the party Paul. A good map, now go shower will ya! GEEZ 00Z is huge and will either call out the naysayer boo-birds or maps galore with bombs away. Razor gradients especially after the 18Z jump shippers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Nice looking map, Paul. I think the bands look fine but the amounts are way to high. IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Snow growth zone is in prime spot (up between -12C and -18C) and I'm pretty impressed with the omega located within this zone along with the high relative humidity values. Also since there will be a pretty tight baroclinic zone with this, along with a well defined 700mb circulation, the CCB with this system should be pretty freaking sweet. I would think 3'' per hour rates are a pretty good bet within this band and there is even some instability present in the mid-levels. In the 6-10'' zone I really could see 6-8'' being widespread and the 10-16'' zone...perhaps 8-12'' widespread and the 16-20'' more like 12-18'' but I ticked up due to the potential for extremely heavy rates and for a prolonged period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Thanks for explaining. I would love to see that come to fruition but have lower expectations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm liking the maps, all two of them. A lesson learned many years ago never critique until all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm liking the maps, all two of them. A lesson learned many years ago never critique until all is said and done.I might be buying you a round or two at the next gtg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 No victory yet Dave. I just noticed RAP has the 5h closed near LYX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Map for tomorrow. Pretty extensive lift associated with this system along with great influx of moisture. All models also showing impressive QPF amounts in both the 6 and 12-HR intervals. Also...a plume of elevated instability does move overhead so can't rule out some thundersnows. Going to be tough to gauge exactly where the sharp cutoff in totals occurs though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Wiz, for obvious reasons, I love your map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Don, for obvious reasons, everyone loves your map :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 What a bust the last one was. Hopefully this next one comes closer to : Still fun map making and just having some fun, so CHILL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 What a bust the last one was. Hopefully this next one comes closer to : FEB_18TH_2014.png Still fun map making and just having some fun, so CHILL! omg sammy Lillo map NSFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Well after my initial thoughts were completely wrong...here is an adjusted forecast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Well after my initial thoughts were completely wrong...here is an adjusted forecast: I'd be a bit surprised if anybody along the Housatonic Valley manages 4-7, but I'd love to be wrong. Looks like a great call to me for the rest of CT and RI, though. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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