anotherman Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like a potential bomb for southern tier counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 What a mess. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I thought we cancelled winter yesterday? That has the makings of a PA border bullseye (again). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 DT's first call map put everyone from HBG south in the 3-6 zone for the Monday event. 1-3 for areas north of HBG north to CTP. Wouldn't it be something if after all of the social media hype it turns out that Monday's little frontal wave ends up giving us the biggest snowfall in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Percentages right now for southern tier. 0" 10% 1-2" 20% 2-4" 20% 4-6" 30% 6-8" 15% 8-10" 5% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Nice. UKMET says 2-4" KCXY vicinity, 3-5" down south (m-d line AGAIN...lol). I suppose compared to the GFS's nothing, a 3" storm is quite nice. To quote DT...the CMC this run has gone ape-s**t !! That looks like 6+ based on intensity shown. But then, there's the ice storm to deal with on Wednesday. ...BTW Zak...At first I couldn't figure out why the precip totals didn't appear to jive with the intensity until I looked more closely and saw the first map (precip map) was from the UKIE and not CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 NAVGEM is in, lock it in. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 lol the goods. NAVGEM is in, lock it in. lol Zak...it looks like you are directly linking to wxbell maps which is producing a "forbidden access" page. So, both maps are not showing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Zak...it looks like you are directly linking to wxbell maps which is producing a "forbidden access" page. So, both maps are not showing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 It has become quite apparent that those in the Route 30 corridor down to the m-d line have made some kind of deal with the weather gods this season. 10"+ for York, Lancaster, and Philly?? Meanwhile, up here, closer to the turnpike, it looks like around 7". Book it! I might also point out that despite the Euro over doing some systems this season, it was virtually the only model up until around 36 hours ago to depict this low making it this far north. Kudos to the Euro. Now, if we can just get it to erase the cutter from Wednesday and track it south of us, all will be truly right with the world. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro is fugly for Wednesday. Widespread .50" + icing pretty much for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Amazing trends. It seems to want to snow here. I still miss the large scale events. More fun when we all get in on the fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Amazing trends. It seems to want to snow here. I still miss the large scale events. More fun when we all get in on the fun. We may get it Monday, but they will on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 From what I am reading, for UNV on Monday? GFS: Nada GGEM: 2-4" ECM: 1-2"? And I see the GFS has a significant snowstorm followed by 0.6" ice for Wednesday. What do the others have? I do apologize for ?s as I just got back from work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The RPM model agrees with the Canadian (even though it has many of the NAM characteristics) for Monday's storm. I'm still not convinced until the American models jump on board...looks like 06z NAM is slightly farther north. Would like to see better agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 6z GFS hiked north. 0.25+ southern tier, 0.10 pushing to UNV. (Monday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Zak...it looks like you are directly linking to wxbell maps which is producing a "forbidden access" page. So, both maps are not showing here. the wxbell guys found out that someone on social media was posting their euro maps as if it were his own... they were not too happy and do not wish for their paywall maps to be posted anywhere so we probably shouldnt be posting them on here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Latest SREFs are wetter, and bring the 0.5" QPF line into parts of SE PA...the northern edge is getting trimmed farther south though, which leads me to believe the SREFs are zero-ing in on a solution. Also of note, the QPF concentration just NW of the I-95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 New thread: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42674-central-pa-and-the-fringes-february-2014/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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