Blue Ridge Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Still in North JC, still seeing moderate snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 The RAP says we have another 0.10 qpf to come. There is another band of stronger forcing over the plateau that should slowly sag SE this evening. For now the snow has stopped here. Yeah latest RAP showing some blossoming returns around 0z this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Stove, is the RAP showing that moisture across all of East TN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Stove, is the RAP showing that moisture across all of East TN? Here is the 19z RAP reflectivity at 0z tonight: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Looks very deformation band-ish. Did we get some phasing? Is that why this overperformed today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Here is the 19z RAP reflectivity at 0z tonight: That is a dang fine look! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Thanks Stove! Just for my clarification (I know this is a dumb question) is that the forecasted reflectivity for midnight? Sorry, just learning about models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 2.5 inches in west Kingsport...probably closer to 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I am getting heavier snow now than I have all day. Still only have about 1/2 inch though. Flakes are surprisingly large with a 13 degree temp. Usually flakes are always fine when it's synoptic snow and under 28 or so. You normally just get more of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Thanks Stove! Just for my clarification (I know this is a dumb question) is that the forecasted reflectivity for midnight? Sorry, just learning about models! No problem Vol, that is the modeled radar reflectivity for 0z or 7pm (I think or is it 8pm?) tonight. It completely peters out about 3 hours after that. In the meantime, it looks like the radar is filling in a bit and snow has started back again here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 0z is 8 pm during daylight savings time, 7pm during standard time, which we are in now. This is for EST. Subtract 1hr for CT. Thanks Stove! Just for my clarification (I know this is a dumb question) is that the forecasted reflectivity for midnight? Sorry, just learning about models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Oh ok! So it is based off Greenwich mean time then, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Oh ok! So it is based off Greenwich mean time then, correct? Yes. David Aldrich said that the models didn't initialize the moderate snow that has set up back towards Crossville, so to expect the snow to linger longer than the models are showing it leaving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Snow let up for a while here, but is now cranking up again. My temp is 22 and falling. We peaked at 24 before the snow started. The main roads are in OK shape now, but the secondaries are still horrible. It took my mom 4 hours to get from Hixson to her house in East Brainerd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Finally the heavier returns have parked over me. Hopefully this axis sticks around for an hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Lookin good for a few more hours it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabbycat Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 The snow is baaaccckkk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 When 25dbz returns are showing up on the Plateau, you know it's coming down pretty well. It's tough to see snow here with the radar. Especially very cold events when snow is able to form lower in the atmosphere than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabbycat Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Stovepipe, it ended up being 20 school buses they are saying & they are going to get the last load of kids now. The sheriff's office is taking all those kids home and as of 3:45 they had one left. So nearly five hours to get some kids home. Stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ladyjmayo Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Here in Roane county it has been snowing continuously since around 10 am. It didn't take a break at all. Looks like we are over the 2 inch mark and still coming down. Time for a nekkid snow angel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 A little over 2" fell at my house - but I think a little more than that fell because arctic snow compacts like you wouldn't believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Beautiful moderate snow here now, closing in on 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 The band that is over John now should start to pivot eastward over the next few hours and fill in. This is not over with yet for at least another 5 hours. I could see another 1-2 inches falling from the Plateau eastward to the mountains. It has snowed here lightly non stop since 8 and I've got 1 and a half inches so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Stovepipe, it ended up being 20 school buses they are saying & they are going to get the last load of kids now. The sheriff's office is taking all those kids home and as of 3:45 they had one left. So nearly five hours to get some kids home. Stupid. I think what caught everybody off guard was that the roads weren't brined (of course) and that once the air got saturated it piled up in a hurry. Virga was technically falling from about 8AM this morning but the air didn't get saturated until 11AM. So, maybe the NWS knew what was going on but the officials didn't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Goosefeathers coming down here now. 1 inch at time...I'll cross the 11 inch mark this year at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Dang Blue Ridge, sorry you had such bad timing! Hope the trip home was uneventful! Thankfully my daughter lives next to campus, so she had no problems making it home. If she would have had to drive I-26 between JC and Kpt, it would have been bad! That road with it's useless super-elevations, is awful in the snow/ice...which I'm sure you know well! edit: Just saw that you were posting from Target, so I guess I should say have a safe trip home! Thanks, Kevin! Good to hear she's safe. Traffic is moving well in JC, but the primary roads vary from slushy to covered. 26 is an absolute mess in places, particularly between exit 24 (Elizabethon) and exit 27 (Okolona). The first mile or two in Unicoi County is okay, but conditions deteriorate quickly when cresting Unicoi Hill and descending toward Erwin. A friend from JC who works in Kingsport says his commute was awful. I honestly think if they would just have left the stupid roads alone it would be better than what is occurring now. They are melting the POWDERY snow so that it can refreeze as ICE. I agree Mr. Bob, the decision to put school in session today with the modeling and information available today was something that shouldn't have happened. Seems like they (MRX) has been terrible this year with their WWA's and it's putting peoples lives in danger. I'd rather you call for something, show the data, and then eat crow later than call for minimal issues and have teenage drivers trying to get home in this type of weather. Pretty stupid and irresponsible if you ask me. I have a story I'll share later regarding MRX and Saturday's storm. They could have done much better today than issuing an advisory at 3:30 am for a storm that began in some spots at 7:00 am. She is fine, just waiting for some assistance to arrive although there doesn't appear to be any police on the way. I don't care about the van, that's fixable, but it's pretty ridiculous that schools were open. I'm just a hobbyist weather watcher, not even a particularly good one, and I could have told you at noon yesterday that schools should have been closed today. By last night there was near 100% certainty we'd get an inch. I hate to hear she was involved in an accident. Good to know she is unharmed. Even in the Tri-Cities, several school districts made the decision to hold classes this morning. There is never any reason to risk the lives of children. When snow is 100% without-a-doubt going to fall and temperatures are in the upper teens, there should be no question to call off school. None. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Stovepipe, it ended up being 20 school buses they are saying & they are going to get the last load of kids now. The sheriff's office is taking all those kids home and as of 3:45 they had one left. So nearly five hours to get some kids home. Stupid. Stupid, disgraceful, irresponsible. I'm off my soapbox. Back in Erwin, I have a little over an inch with light snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Stovepipe, it ended up being 20 school buses they are saying & they are going to get the last load of kids now. The sheriff's office is taking all those kids home and as of 3:45 they had one left. So nearly five hours to get some kids home. Stupid. Crazy! My wife and son made it home about 2 hours after the bumper cars incident. They finally brined the hill and she was able to drive the crashed van almost to our neighborhood until, I kid you not, a school bus was crossways in a ditch blocking the road. She parked the van and they just walked the rest of the way home. Wild day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabbycat Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I think what caught everybody off guard was that the roads weren't brined (of course) and that once the air got saturated it piled up in a hurry. Virga was technically falling from about 8AM this morning but the air didn't get saturated until 11AM. So, maybe the NWS knew what was going on but the officials didn't? They must not have known. My street was covered at 10:15. Even if they salt the roads, they still have roads the buses can't reach on the other side of the county. I remember quite a few snow days for school when we got nearly nothing in West Knox. Wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Currently heavy snow, this band really means business. Almost half dollar sized flakes. I honestly didn't think that was possible with temps this low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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