Buffalo Bumble Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 About 6 inches here. Very similar to the last cold storm we had a few weeks ago - long duration but only occasional bursts of moderate snow. Looking like 20"+ will accumulate in some portions of Rochester: ...MONROE COUNTY...GREECE 18.0 354 PM 1/02 TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 7" on the ground here. Should be able to get another 2-4" tonight on the fringes of the coastal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 About 6 inches here. Very similar to the last cold storm we had a few weeks ago - long duration but only occasional bursts of moderate snow. Looking like 20"+ will accumulate in some portions of Rochester: ...MONROE COUNTY... GREECE 18.0 354 PM 1/02 TRAINED SPOTTER Close to 8 inches here,hard to measure with all the drifts going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 270-300 flow... I was really looking forward to a decent Metro event before the lake freezes. This was literally our last shot. =( It's absolutely ridiculous that BUF is so specific that the wind direction won't favorable Buffalo. The PV is between Superior and James Bay...exactly where we want it lol. The Euro has the band in BUF for an extended period of time. It should be very good somewhere east of the Lakes. The Euro has 850 temps of -29C at the peak of arctic blast...almost historic cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 It's absolutely ridiculous that BUF is so specific that the wind direction won't favorable Buffalo. The PV is between Superior and James Bay...exactly where we want it lol. The Euro has the band in BUF for an extended period of time. It should be very good somewhere east of the Lakes. The Euro has 850 temps of -29C at the peak of arctic blast...almost historic cold. Thanks for posting, I was getting a tad worried. Check out what the Cleveland NWS office states... UNFORTUNATELY THIS COLD AIR MASS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/EASTERN CANADA AND THE HIGH SITS ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THERE WILL BE SOME SNOW CHANCES DURING THIS TIME...BUT MAINLY FOR THE EXTREME EAST SNOWBELT. WINDS WILL PREDOMINATELY BE WSW OR SOUTHWEST. THERE WILL BE SOME MODERATION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS THE COLD POOL OF AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO EXIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 It's absolutely ridiculous that BUF is so specific that the wind direction won't favorable Buffalo. The PV is between Superior and James Bay...exactly where we want it lol. The Euro has the band in BUF for an extended period of time. It should be very good somewhere east of the Lakes. The Euro has 850 temps of -29C at the peak of arctic blast...almost historic cold. Do you have any idea why weatherunderground Euro model isn't working properly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Do you have any idea why weatherunderground Euro model isn't working properly? This site has some good model graphics, including Euro, if you're looking for a backup: http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Serious cold up in the ADK's and in the Champlain Valley. And check out that temp gradient on the Mass coast - pretty impressive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Do you have any idea why weatherunderground Euro model isn't working properly? I didn't have a problem loading the 12z euro on wunderground today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I didn't have a problem loading the 12z euro on wunderground today. Wow it works now. Euro looks incredible for metro and points just south as band just sits there for 24-36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 This site has some good model graphics, including Euro, if you're looking for a backup: http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ Thanks! I will bookmark this website as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steffen Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 about 9" here with currently light to mod snow and temps approaching 7F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Storm total 4.5" in Altmar.. very light snow still falling. Will be lucky to get to 6" before it shuts off. Been snowing since 12am last night though. I'll take snow in the air any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRLady Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 black river n.y. reporting wind chill values at -34 .....!!! a few miles east of watertown.,.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 black river n.y. reporting wind chill values at -34 .....!!! a few miles east of watertown.,.. Stay safe up there,NWS has you up for Windchill warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Well i wont be approaching 12" anytime soon if its going to snow lightly like this lol ROC getting rocked though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRLady Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 yup! and the cold part of the night has not begun! lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 You all in the North country are going to really freeze over the next several days. Not sure how you do it. Down here in Little Havana, temp now -1F w/ SN-. 18 Zul GFS looking more like the ECM...which would bring a variety of hydrometeors to CNY and mainly SN to WNY for Monday. Could be a memorable run for WNY and the North Country east of Lake Ontario as indicated by virtually all NWP, if the synoptic snow and then WSW wind driven LES and cold temps materialize next week. Will probably be a bit boring elsewhere unless you like nasty cold. Pattern looks to relax a bit late next week but no signs of a genuine pattern change anywhere that I have seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Maybe 6 or 7" just N of SYR. We get this amount of snow in a bad couple/few hours from the lake sometimes, so not all that impressive, other than the cold. Hopefully we crack the 10" mark though dendrite size and intensity hasn't been impressive for the most part. Overall, this seems to being going as forecasted, here. About 8" total here in L'pool....at 8pm. I am really interested in the LES early next week....for both lakes...I would not rule out ART and BUF yet as being the bullseye...I really think the storm track for Sun/Sun night will be further west (re: Euro), which would aid in keeping the major LES bands a bit further north of where the NWS BUF's current thinking is. If indeed we have a further east track, then feets of snow will pile up in the northern parts of ski country south of Buf and of course the Tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 You all in the North country are going to really freeze over the next several days. Not sure how you do it. Down here in Little Havana, temp now -1F w/ SN-. 18 Zul GFS looking more like the ECM...which would bring a variety of hydrometeors to CNY and mainly SN to WNY for Monday. Could be a memorable run for WNY and the North Country east of Lake Ontario as indicated by virtually all NWP, if the synoptic snow and then WSW wind driven LES and cold temps materialize next week. Will probably be a bit boring elsewhere unless you like nasty cold. Pattern looks to relax a bit late next week but no signs of a genuine pattern change anywhere that I have seen. Check out the friday night forecast for KSLK. Friday Night:Mostly clear, with a low around -26. Light and variable wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Snow is done,final total is 8.2".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 A local Toronto met is saying that Lake Erie may be frozen over a week from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 A local Toronto met is saying that Lake Erie may be frozen over a week from now. That seems reasonable...I think the next arctic outbreak on Sunday through mid-week will kill it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 That seems reasonable...I think the next arctic outbreak on Sunday through mid-week will kill it. I was down at Toronto's Harbour Front this afternoon, and the harbor is frozen solid. You could probably skate to the Toronto Islands! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 good lord... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 good lord... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 A local Toronto met is saying that Lake Erie may be frozen over a week from now. There is no ice on the lake as of this moment, usually takes 2 weeks after it hits 32 degrees to completely freeze over. I say by the 15th of January the lake will be almost completely frozen. But even then there are several lake effect events of 6-12 inches that occurred while the lake was completely frozen. This is due to the friction and gaps in b between the ice flows which result in lift and condensation. I forget the scientific term for it, maybe OSU can help with that. Here is an example of such an event. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/buf/lakeffect/lake0708/j/stormsumj.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 There is no ice on the lake as of this moment, usually takes 2 weeks after it hits 32 degrees to completely freeze over. I say by the 15th of January the lake will be almost completely frozen. But even then there are several lake effect events of 6-12 inches that occurred while the lake was completely frozen. This is due to the friction and gaps in b between the ice flows which result in lift and condensation. I forget the scientific term for it, maybe OSU can help with that. Here is an example of such an event. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/buf/lakeffect/lake0708/j/stormsumj.html That was a gift lol,never would i have thought we would get those amounts from a frozen lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 latest spotter reports 000NOUS41 KBUF 030344PNSBUFNYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-031544-PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTSPOTTER REPORTSNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY1044 PM EST THU JAN 02 2014REPORTS AS OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM THE STORM THAT HAS BEENIMPACTING OUR AREA. A FINAL 2 DAY STORM TOTAL WILL BE SENT TOMORROWMORNING.********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTSSNOWFALL OF/INCHES/ MEASUREMENTNEW YORK...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...PERRYSBURG 11.0 427 PM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVERALLEGANY PARK 7.0 515 PM 1/02 SOCIAL MEDIA...CAYUGA COUNTY...W MONTEZUMA 4.0 549 PM 1/02 COCORAHS...ERIE COUNTY...WEST FALLS 9.0 745 PM 1/02 SOCIAL MEDIATONAWANDA 8.5 920 PM 1/02 SOCIAL MEDIABUFFALO 7.8 920 PM 1/02 ELMWOODALDEN 7.0 915 PM 1/02 SOCIAL MEDIACLARENCE 7.0 900 PM 1/02 SOCIAL MEDIANY BUFFALO INTL ARPT 6.6 1000 PM 1/02 ASOSEAST AURORA 5.9 500 PM 1/02 COCORAHS...GENESEE COUNTY...PAVILION 8.2 315 PM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVER...LEWIS COUNTY...LOWVILLE 4.0 910 PM 1/02 SOCIAL MEDIA...LIVINGSTON COUNTY...SOUTH LIVONIA 8.0 300 PM 1/02 PUBLICGENESEO 7.0 700 PM 1/02 PUBLIC...MONROE COUNTY...GREECE 18.0 354 PM 1/02 TRAINED SPOTTERWEBSTER 13.0 800 PM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVERROCHESTER INTL ARPT 9.9 1000 PM 1/02 ASOSBRIGHTON 9.0 837 PM 1/02 SOCIAL MEDIASCOTTSVILLE 8.2 825 PM 1/02 SOCIAL MEDIACHILI CENTER 8.0 750 PM 1/02 TRAINED SPOTTER...OSWEGO COUNTY...OSWEGO 11.5 500 PM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVERFULTON 8.0 900 PM 1/02 PUBLICALTMAR 4.5 745 PM 1/02 PUBLIC...WAYNE COUNTY...WALWORTH 14.6 800 PM 1/02 COCORAHSNEWARK 6.1 835 PM 1/02 SOCIAL MEDIA$THOMAS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 About 8" total here in L'pool....at 8pm. I am really interested in the LES early next week....for both lakes...I would not rule out ART and BUF yet as being the bullseye...I really think the storm track for Sun/Sun night will be further west (re: Euro), which would aid in keeping the major LES bands a bit further north of where the NWS BUF's current thinking is. If indeed we have a further east track, then feets of snow will pile up in the northern parts of ski country south of Buf and of course the Tug. Ugh yeah, 0Z GFS is now west, blow torching everyone in CNY on MON out to at least ROC...BUF would have early ptype issues but be mostly SN. 850 lows heading to your west are always #losers unless you can dam, but our location not good for that. After the FROPA looks like the lake snow will indeed be north. We'll have to hope for Lake Erie scraps. Humiliating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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