SACRUS Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Agree. Usually in these synoptic set-ups, the 850mb temps peak prior FROPA with increased warm air advection from the southwest. I think Friday might be the hottest day, as more clouds get into the picture Saturday via convection by late afternoon/evening. Drying northerly wind today. 85.5 as of 10am here, so if the 10am rule holds, I should hit at least 95 today. Yesterday was 94.0 here in Monmouth. RH a "refreshing" 55%. Agree I think thu/fri are the hottest days with saturday potentially as well but clouds may be in the way. The ftont and temps near or even a bit below between 7/21 and 7/23. Looks like we warm again on/around the 24th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 I would think today would actually overperform, since dews are lower. That makes it easier to heat up the atmosphere, since dry air has a smaller specific heat capacity than moist air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 ISP and BDR could come close to their record highs 93-94 today. Already 90-91 at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Regardless, Thursday/Friday should be the hottest days with warmer 850mb temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 92 here @12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 I would think today would actually overperform, since dews are lower. That makes it easier to heat up the atmosphere, since dry air has a smaller specific heat capacity than moist air. I think it is still possible (as long as we don't cloud up) we have been hitting our highs in Queens around 5-7 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Thursday looks hotter for more of the area with 850mb temps near 20C with W/NW winds. Friday and Saturday have more moist SW flow. LI/CT south shores will be cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 GFS getting more bullish w/ 850mb temps plummeting behind the front. Late weekend into early next week could be a taste of September. Will be surprised if we manage to see a sub 80 degree day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 I think NYC is going to fall a little short of expectations today. I would think it tops out at 92 or 93. We shall see. Friday & Saturday may be the two days that temperatures are hotter than expected. WX/PT NWS had 97F yesterday for Central Park...I don't see them getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 The 12z 4k NAM has a line of storms developing to the NNW on Thursday afternoon and then moving through the area around 00z Friday. The normal NAM was shows not much of anything. Also FWIW the GFS remains very consistent in bringing a tropical system to the north of Hispanolia, should this occur, the placement and strength of the WAR will be critical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 93 at Central Park at 1pm. Today looks more cloud free and drier than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 93 at Central Park at 1pm. Today looks more cloud free and drier than yesterday. 91/59 at LGA. Can't remember the last time dew points were so low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 91/59 at LGA. Can't remember the last time dew points were so low. Lol June 22.. crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 91/59 at LGA. Can't remember the last time dew points were so low. 59? That's shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Sunny. 92/61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Up to 94 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 59? That's shocking. Yeah. They're at 60 now. NYC is 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Just feels like an ordinary summer day today. Low 90s, humidity and dewpoints in check with a refreshing breeze at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Same as yesterday here, clouds have knocked temp down to 90 after reaching 94 earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 12Z Euro is very troughy right through day 10. In fact 10 day prog shows the trough reloading over the lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Doesn't feel that warm out. I mean it's warm but not oppressive. It would be great if the rest of the week was like today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 ISP 94. Breaks their record high. BDR already tied theirs at 94. Block Island is at 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 ISP 94. Breaks their record high. BDR already tied theirs at 94. Block Island is at 90. Whenever Islip breaks a record, it should be pointed out that records go back only to 1984. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 16, 2013 Author Share Posted July 16, 2013 The WAR starts building back west around D10 after we get a break around D5-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 BDR 95, also broke their record of 94. Which was set back in 1983 and 1952. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 The WAR starts building back west around D10 after we get a break around D5-6. Geopotential32at32500hPa_North32America_144.gif Geopotential32at32500hPa_North32America_240.gif It looks like it builds in further south though. That'll spare us from the core of the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 16, 2013 Author Share Posted July 16, 2013 It looks like it builds in further south though. That'll spare us from the core of the heat. Probably just days of upper 80's to low 90's when we warm up again for the last few days of July instead of the big heat of this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 Probably just days of upper 80's to low 90's when we warm up again for the last few days of July instead of the big heat of this week. Yup. I prefer that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 16, 2013 Share Posted July 16, 2013 All buoys just south of LI are above 80 degrees. Goes to show how far offshore the warmth got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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