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Lake Effect Event Discussion


TugHillMatt

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Beautiful pics. These pileups seem like they're occurring too often down your way.

2nd one this winter. The problem is the general public hears a forecast of "occasional snow showers" they don't know that a wall of white is about to hit with zero warning. Far far more dangerous than your typical warning criteria snowstorm.

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Moderate snow continues to fall although the overall health of the mesolow has been declining per the latest BUF and KC loop. Has been snowing at a rate of about 3/4" per hour for the last two hours. 4.2" storm total thus far.

 

SNOW! Seriously, you need to move to Barrie, London, Stratford, or even KW or Guelph. You neeeed these les events bad. These 1-4", sometimes 6"+ lake effect events(in KW at least) really help our snowpack and make solid winter. You belong in the snow belt. Especially the les outbreak prone areas. This could be just another Tuesday for you... lol.

 

If it were not for the LES, we'd probably be at 25-30" or less right now. A multiple time weekly dosage of even 1-2" here really piles up our totals.

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SNOW! Seriously, you need to move to Barrie, London, Stratford, or even KW or Guelph. You neeeed these les events bad. These 1-4", sometimes 6"+ lake effect events(in KW at least) really help our snowpack and make solid winter. You belong in the snow belt. Especially the les outbreak prone areas. This could be just another Tuesday for you... lol.

 

If it were not for the LES, we'd probably be at 25-30" or less right now. A multiple time weekly dosage of even 1-2" here really piles up our totals.

 

Yeah, that's the long term plan. Although absence makes the heart grow fonder.

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SNOW! Seriously, you need to move to Barrie, London, Stratford, or even KW or Guelph. You neeeed these les events bad. These 1-4", sometimes 6"+ lake effect events(in KW at least) really help our snowpack and make solid winter. You belong in the snow belt. Especially the les outbreak prone areas. This could be just another Tuesday for you... lol.

 

If it were not for the LES, we'd probably be at 25-30" or less right now. A multiple time weekly dosage of even 1-2" here really piles up our totals.

 

Yeah, we get 1-2 Lake effect events per week on average all winter. Albeit most are small-medium events 1-3, 2-4 but the continuous snowfall makes our yearly snowfall 110-120 inches per year.

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SNOW! Seriously, you need to move to Barrie, London, Stratford, or even KW or Guelph. You neeeed these les events bad. These 1-4", sometimes 6"+ lake effect events(in KW at least) really help our snowpack and make solid winter. You belong in the snow belt. Especially the les outbreak prone areas. This could be just another Tuesday for you... lol.

 

If it were not for the LES, we'd probably be at 25-30" or less right now. A multiple time weekly dosage of even 1-2" here really piles up our totals.

Honestly, these lake effect events as well as our 14" storm have gone some way towards redeeming this winter for Toronto. February has been a solid month thus far. Second half of January was good too, particularly the 31st.

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In downtown Detroit at casino. There is easily 4" today.

I think downtown may have been hardest hit area. It REALLY varied from place to place. I was everywhere from Romulus to Detroit yesterday and saw as little as barely an inch to as much as 3". I cant even say mile to mile, it seemed to vary block to block.

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Love fluff snow. It's the prettiest when falling and it's such an efficient accumulator, but man does it lack staying power. Even though it's only 11F, with full sunshine that 4.3" the fell yesterday has shrunk to about 2" on all dark surfaces. Only compacted to about 3" on the existing snow pack, but still, if you want your snow cover reenforced, cement snow is the better bet. 

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The numbers are in from Environment Canada for Saturday's surprise Lake Ontario thermal low snowstorm over the GTA.

 

Pearson Airport/YYZ: 5.1" (13.0 cm) on 0.28" liquid

Downtown Toronto: 2.4" (6.0 cm)

East York: 2.7" (6.8 cm)

North York: 2.8" (7.0 cm)

 

lol, luckily there was very little wind otherwise no way nipher-boy Pearson would have had double everyone else.

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lol, luckily there was very little wind otherwise no way nipher-boy Pearson would have had double everyone else.

 

Yeah, wind is the biggest factor in determining Pearson's snowfall accuracy, or lack thereof. Pearson also tends to measure high on events with snow fallling and melting on contact.

 

Since Pearson is considered to be Toronto's official weather station by the media and general public, I added their seasonal snowfall to my sig. It will be interesting to see if YYZ can close the gap with downtown Toronto by the end of this winter season.

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Yeah, wind is the biggest factor in determining Pearson's snowfall accuracy, or lack thereof. Pearson also tends to measure high on events with snow fallling and melting on contact.

 

Since Pearson is considered to be Toronto's official weather station by the media and general public, I added their seasonal snowfall to my sig. It will be interesting to see if YYZ can close the gap with downtown Toronto by the end of this winter season.

 

0.2% chance. And I'm being generous.

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Official or not, now that I know why Pearson lowballs, I've basically discounted them. They can record a trace from here on out as far I care. 

 

YKF is spot on --  but it's a bit puzzling how they only recorded 19.8cm on the 8th with other spotters and/or other observation methods reporting 28cm-40cm... which is a maximum difference of 20.2cm within 10 km.

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