PatrickSumner Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 A majority of computer models (EURO, GGEM, and GFS) all have a storm during this time frame. I know this is early, but I felt this thread was warranted due to the consistent GFS. The EURO and GGEM are also on board now. Although there is no guarantee that a storm will develop during this time frame, it is looking more likely, (Above 50%) thus this thread. Happy chatting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 smdh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 7, 2012 Author Share Posted February 7, 2012 smdh Had a feeling you would say that. The time frame looks promising though...you at least have to admit that much. I will admit that it may be a bit early for a thread, but I felt it was warranted. It is time to get things going around here. The lack of winter storms this winter has been depressing, but the rest of February is looking optimistic to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Had a feeling you would say that. The time frame looks promising though...you at least have to admit that much. I will admit that it may be a bit early for a thread, but I felt it was warranted. It is time to get things going around here. The lack of winter storms this winter has been depressing, but the rest of February is looking optimistic to say the least. We have been discussing this possibility in the general February thread...and Mr. Deedler posted a thread for this time period yesterday that was closed. This thread might suffer the same fate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Had a feeling you would say that. The time frame looks promising though...you at least have to admit that much. I will admit that it may be a bit early for a thread, but I felt it was warranted. It is time to get things going around here. The lack of winter storms this winter has been depressing, but the rest of February is looking optimistic to say the least. what makes this time frame look promising? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 You may be right in something cooking for that time period, but the consensus around here seems to be 7 days out and under for a specific thread given that models can flip flop so much even in that time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 7, 2012 Author Share Posted February 7, 2012 what makes this time frame look promising? I think the fact that a majority of computer models have a storm makes this time frame promising. There are also consistent signs on the GFS (I know...it's the GFS) that the pacific jet is going to begin to relax resulting in a more volatile pattern over the Eastern United States... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 We are heading into a notoriously stormy time of the winter anyways for this part of the country. I wouldn't be surprised if there was one or two systems that roll through this region next week. I say keep the topic on the back burner until 5 days out, but watch it on the general thread. The MJO would be more favorable for colder air to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I think the fact that a majority of computer models have a storm makes this time frame promising. There are also consistent signs on the GFS (I know...it's the GFS) that the pacific jet is going to begin to relax resulting in a more volatile pattern over the Eastern United States... not a valid answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 not a valid answer. Tone down the attitude, if the thread gets deleted or closed Hoosier will do so, you don't need to be mucking up threads with combativeness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Tone down the attitude, if the thread gets deleted or closed Hoosier will do so, you don't need to be mucking up threads with combativeness. Agreed. The hostility from a couple of the posters in our region irritates me on about a daily basis. Not everyone is an expert and this is a place to talk weather so not everyone is going to have the same level of education or understanding, but there is no need to constantly degrade other posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Agreed. The hostility from a couple of the posters in our region irritates me on about a daily basis. Not everyone is experts and this is a place to talk weather so not everyone is going to have the same level of education or understanding, but there is no need to constantly degrade other posters. Agree, the hostility and agression has been an issue all winter from those select posters and it has grown old already. I know damn well it wouldn't be allowed in their severe threads nor tolorated so I don't see the reasoning for it to be allowed in winter threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Agree, the hostility and agression has been an issue all winter from those select posters and it has grown old already. I know damn well it wouldn't be allowed in their severe threads nor tolorated so I don't see the reasoning for it to be allowed in winter threads. It is a large part of the reason why I'm not on here or most more than I do because I just get tired of it. Anyways, enough cluttering up the threats ourselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Tone down the attitude, if the thread gets deleted or closed Hoosier will do so, you don't need to be mucking up threads with combativeness. If you want to play a moderator/trixie in every thread and tell people how they should and shouldn't post then why don't you apply to be a nazi mod. You would make an excellent one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 It is a large part of the reason why I'm not on here or most more than I do because I just get tired of it. Anyways, enough cluttering up the threats ourselves. Yeah, honestly I wouldn't started this thread this soon, but there is pretty good model concensus that there will be a strong system in the 8-12 day range. Right when the AO goes back to near neutral and the PNA goes less positive, also this will be right when the MJO is crossing into the colder phases for the region (8 to 1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 If you want to play a moderator/trixie in every thread and tell people how they should and shouldn't post then why don't you apply to be a nazi mod. You would make an excellent one. You are part of the problem not the solution so it make sense for you to post something combative like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 Sorry for even starting the thread. When the storm does come though, I will be sure to tell those criticizers that I told them so! Now enough of this non-sense. Let's talk weather and talk about what is for or against a big storm in the Eastern U.S. EDIT: Also refer to the topic description which states: "Computer models are biting...should we?" Let's discuss instead of argue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 This thread should be closed. Without jumping on the OP (even a learned met like Deedler made the mistake), I agree with Hoosier that we've been pushing it with the storm threads in the recent past. 6-8 days out is marginal. 10+ days out is laughable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 This thread should be closed. Without jumping on the OP (even a learned met like Deedler made the mistake), I agree with Hoosier that we've been pushing it with the storm threads in the recent past. 6-8 days out is marginal. 10+ days out is laughable. I do agree with this, though like you said Hoosier will handle it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Interesting how a MET from MI starts a thread about this way out there remote possible storm and the thread is closed almost instantly. By the way it is my understanding that Bill may not post again on this site (which would be sad). NOTE/EDIT: I see that he decided to post again thankfully. Someone from IN starts it and now it is OK? If there is going to be a standard on when to start a storm thread then make a standard. Say 5 day out or something. But if there are going to be double standards then this site is going to have a hard time keeping good MET's like Bill! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Interesting how a MET from MI starts a thread about this way out there remote possible storm and the thread is closed almost instantly. By the way it is my understanding that Bill may not post again on this site (which would be sad). Someone from IN starts it and now it is OK? If there is going to be a standard on when to start a storm thread then make a standard. Say 5 day out or something. But if there are going to be double standards then this site is going to have a hard time keeping good MET's like Bill! hoosier hasn't been around yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 hoosier hasn't been around yet. I hope that is the case! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I hope that is the case! It is. He'll be around towards midnight IIRC. It'll be closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Congratulations to Detroit and Cleveland on another 35 degree rain ending as snow. Surely a solid snow further west. I'm not sure what else you can say when you're just eyeballing the euro at 216-240 hours. Now the waiting game begins! In the case of this thread, I guess that will take about a week and a half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 not a valid answer. You nearly cost the board a damn good met because the point of Mr Deedlers thread went right over your head. When you ( and a few others who pull the same sh!t all the time ) can start contributing more then that mouth of yours then you can say something till then STFU. You and a couple of others add NO value at all here and are worse then those you constantly b**ch about. And yeah i agree about this being way to early to start a storm threat thread. Note that had a few just STFU and minded their own and thus waited they would have seen that Mr Deedlers thread was not so much about the storm threat. Mainly about modeling/the pattern etc. Why again a few here need to STFU with the backseat moderating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 oh boy You want some?? Just messing with ya. Seriously though people do need to just chill. I know it is a bad winter but damn..lol No reason for all of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Yeah, see, now THIS is the kinda stuff (as in this thread as a whole) I expected to see after a winter like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 We keep this up and it may be the longest thread of the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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