Quakertown needs snow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 2.90" since first drop late sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Looks like another day of the NAM being in lala-land. Even GFS couldn't call it. Many locations in northern and central NJ will have 2 to 3 inch amounts by midnight for the day. As some of us mentioned days ago, the higher QPF amounts would indeed be further east. I'm not even so sure of a cut-off anymore after midnight. Whoever was posting the HRRR stuff, check out the latest composite radar projections on there for hours 9 and higher. It now keeps the heavy stuff in our area. Basically at this point it's anybody's guess since most models have been crapola thus far on QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Local meteorologist just put up a graphic for "Future" rainfall... and has our area getting 3.5" of additional rainfall while areas in C PA getting 6-7" of additional rainfalll. he doesn't mention that my area already received 3.14" bringing storm totals close to 6.64" I guess my "flippant" reply that a member said a yesterday, may turn out to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Looks as if SE PA should get a real from the rain after this batch. Tomb, you got Drexel hill rainfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 I am in NE NJ until Thursday, any word on how the Delaware will do in Easton this go around? I imagine it does not look too good. Storm total 4.36" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Looks like another day of the NAM being in lala-land. Even GFS couldn't call it. Many locations in northern and central NJ will have 2 to 3 inch amounts by midnight for the day. As some of us mentioned days ago, the higher QPF amounts would indeed be further east. I'm not even so sure of a cut-off anymore after midnight. Whoever was posting the HRRR stuff, check out the latest composite radar projections on there for hours 9 and higher. It now keeps the heavy stuff in our area. Basically at this point it's anybody's guess since most models have been crapola thus far on QPF. Yeah, alot of people seem to be downplaying Eastern and North Eastern P.A with this heavy rain threat compared to Central Pa. I'm already above 3.0" total. I'm not following gfs nor nam for this event. Just look at the radar this evening, NE NJ has been getting pounded with heavy rain the past couple of hours. I could see us tacking on easily another couple of inches. Take a look at the water Vapor loop to the south. Long night of heavy rain coming for the entire area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 fwiw, we are still in a drought watch Philly.com & KYW reported the drought watch was cancelled several days ago, In Feasterville 7:00pm 59.6 Degrees Rain 2.65" storm total with essentially everything coming today, 1hr max so far 0.63" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Yeah, alot of people seem to be downplaying Eastern and North Eastern P.A with this heavy rain threat compared to Central Pa. I'm already above 3.0" total. I'm not following gfs nor nam for this event. Just look at the radar this evening, NE NJ has been getting pounded with heavy rain the past couple of hours. I could see us tacking on easily another couple of inches. Very close to 3" total here as well. (30 hour total) crazy how horrible the models have been. This needs to be addressed and hopefully will be. c'mon, who Hax0red the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Looks as if SE PA should get a real from the rain after this batch. Tomb, you got Drexel hill rainfall? 2.68 today, .16 yesterday...total 2.84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Very close to 3" total here as well. (30 hour total) crazy how horrible the models have been. This needs to be addressed and hopefully will be. c'mon, who Hax0red the NAM. Well Binghamton Nws for my area, has stressed the very heavy rain threat for the entire cwa with the afd today. They are still focusing the heaviest rain more west of my area though. I would not be suprised if the heaviest axis of rainfall wedges into our area Come tomorrow night and Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 2.68 today, .16 yesterday...total 2.84 2.5 in the BM as of 6:30. Boy did the models suck with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Just 2.42" so far here in NW Chesco with a nice cool 60.2 degrees and moderate rain. Looks like we'll catch a break looking at the radar after this batch moves through as we should be in one of the 'dry slots' much of the night. High today only 62.6 -- nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 I am in NE NJ until Thursday, any word on how the Delaware will do in Easton this go around? I imagine it does not look too good. River forecasts have it reaching action stage of 20 feet (flood is 22) by Thursday 7AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Philly.com & KYW reported the drought watch was cancelled several days ago, yep...it's been canceled since late last week...was a bit silly to issue in hindsight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Just hit 3 inches since 11:48 last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcwx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Some look to take a break until the stuff in eastern VA works it's way up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Local meteorologist just put up a graphic for "Future" rainfall... and has our area getting 3.5" of additional rainfall while areas in C PA getting 6-7" of additional rainfalll. he doesn't mention that my area already received 3.14" bringing storm totals close to 6.64" I guess my "flippant" reply that a member said a yesterday, may turn out to be true. It was still flippant regardless of the outcome. Making statements without any reasoning or backup are worthless. I'm sorry if that hurts your feelings, but it's true. This is a weather board for people to learn TOGETHER. Making statements of non-facts and/or conjecture doesn't further the mission of the board, does it? That was and still is my point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 only 1.4" on the day after 2.05" yesterday. Seems a break in the action is imminent in western Lehigh. To be honest, this storm is behaving as expected in the AFD's and HPC forecasts from the weekend. An inch or an inch and a half every day for several days with spots of heavy rain and times of no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 3.47" and counting..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 only 1.4" on the day after 2.05" yesterday. Seems a break in the action is imminent in western Lehigh. To be honest, this storm is behaving as expected in the AFD's and HPC forecasts from the weekend. An inch or an inch and a half every day for several days with spots of heavy rain and times of no rain. 2.74" yesterday and 1.88" (and climbing) today. I'm wondering if I can pull down 2" of rain in 3 consecutive days. Wonder how often that has happened... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 4.13 since sunday night. 1.81 for today and probably a bit more on way -for tonite anyway.. Tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 8:00 60.1 degrees 2.93" storm total, 1 hr max - 0.79" early this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 4.13 since sunday night. 1.81 for today and probably a bit more on way -for tonite anyway.. Tomorrow? How are the roads up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 2.85 today for rd 2 so far...3.01 total in drexel hill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 dry slot approaching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 3.3" overall in cnj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 How are the roads up there? Roads earlier were standing water....'water water everywhere'.. I think drainage is barely able to keep up with combo of saturated ground and moderate rain rates. County EMS reports are in line with this. The large collector streams and rivers may be a different story tomorrow and thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 dry slot approaching Not quite for our forecast area...but Upton just updated and their expecting it to be short-lived - THE BREAK IN THE RAIN OVER DE AND EASTERN MD SHOULD BE SHORTLIVED (APPROX 2 HOURS) - REACHING NYC AROUND 11 PM. According to nowcasting models, I somewhat agree. Big troubles if this continues most of the overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 2.91" at my parents' home in Ewing as of 8:50PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 I'm not back to check, but it looks like KDIX storm total estimate is running low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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