KEITH L.I Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 With some of these posts about the pattern,I was just thinking of last year.It was a disaster until Dec 26th,just a trace of snow..So I think we can wait till at least December,and maybe till late December! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 With some of these posts about the pattern,I was just thinking of last year.It was a disaster until Dec 26th,just a trace of snow..So I think we can wait till at least December,and maybe till late December! it was cold in December though, and some of us saw snow end of October. I am no where near close to saying things will not work out, I am just a little antsy to see the November pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 It can blowtorch until Mid Nov and I wont worry,its what happens Afterwards where I get concerned.If we enter December and we are still in this same pattern,THEN I will be very concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 It can blowtorch until Mid Nov and I wont worry,its what happens Afterwards where I get concerned.If we enter December and we are still in this same pattern,THEN I will be very concerned. seconded and ratified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 seconded and ratified. You're in a ratifying mood today aren't you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 You're in a ratifying mood today aren't you. I am! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Islip running +4.8 for the month....I don't think I've seen an anomalously cool fall in the last 100 years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Islip running +4.8 for the month....I don't think I've seen an anomalously cool fall in the last 100 years... Really W? Have any come close to this year that you can think of?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Really W? Have any come close to this year that you can think of?? Come close how? It has been warm this fall as it is almost every fall in recent memory...business as usual... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Check out what a little wind does to chicago... ATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL317 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2011ILZ006-014-201630-/O.CON.KLOT.LS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111020T2100Z/LAKE IL-COOK-317 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2011...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THISAFTERNOON...* WAVES...WAVES 20 TO 25 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 15 TO 20 FEET THIS MORNING AND TO LESS THAN 15 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.* IMPACTS...LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF AREAS NEAR THE LAKE...LIKELY WORSE THAN WHAT WAS EXPERIENCED WITH THE LATE SEPTEMBER STORM. WAVES COULD RESULT IN FLOODING ALONG THE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE PORTIONS OF LAKE SHORE DRIVE IN CHICAGO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 OMG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 OMG. hot right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Samsung Nexus on Tmobile gets 42mdps.Ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Come close how? It has been warm this fall as it is almost every fall in recent memory...business as usual... I know what you mean, just sayin, if you had any data on falls sim to this one that may lead to some info on the winter? +4.8 is pretty high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Here is a screenshot of the Euro 00Z 10/29. 99% of this has fallen as snow. Not saying it sticks in and aroudn the city, but def. north and west it will on the grass. There is also more after this that probably coats the grass and cars on the island and city Surface maps show lower to mid 30's. Even into the city...LOL: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Here is a screenshot of the Euro 00Z 10/29. 99% of this has fallen as snow. Not saying it sticks in and aroudn the city, but def. north and west it will on the grass. There is also more after this that probably coats the grass and cars on the island and city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 . P003 and 006 will work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 And if the surface low comes closer this should only enhance the cold as dynamics will be better and also there would be a stronger influx of surface cold towards the deepening/transitioning low pressure. Of course its all fantasy but a good dry run to wipe away the cob webs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Not really that much of a fantasy. The GFS has been showing something in the ballpark of this scenario on one model run or other every day since last Saturday. The Euro has finally caught on. And if the surface low comes closer this should only enhance the cold as dynamics will be better and also there would be a stronger influx of surface cold towards the deepening/transitioning low pressure. Of course its all fantasy but a good dry run to wipe away the cob webs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Not really that much of a fantasy. The GFS has been showing something in the ballpark of this scenario on one model run or other every day since last Saturday. The Euro has finally caught on. its october 21st, we are in a second year nina, its been torching for weeks, global warming has taken over, the new normals are warm, and its 180 hours away. Its fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 :whistle: :whistle: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Talk to me next Friday. We shall see. I think we have had snow here the last 3 years in a row in late October when the forecast was for rain. The only fantasy was the forecast's that were for rain when it was snowing in the mountains of Northwest NJ. its october 21st, we are in a second year nina, its been torching for weeks, global warming has taken over, the new normals are warm, and its 180 hours away. Its fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 I just want to get below 45 at this point. We're close to having the latest date to do that in at least 15 years (in EWR/NYC at least) Talk to me next Friday. We shall see. I think we have had snow here the last 3 years in a row in late October when the forecast was for rain. The only fantasy was the forecast's that were for rain when it was snowing in the mountains of Northwest NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 0z Euro is back to cold now. One thing is for sure there's nothing set in stone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 I just want to get below 45 at this point. We're close to having the latest date to do that in at least 15 years (in EWR/NYC at least) Agree....I just want a freeze already.....forget the frost....I will try for that next year...new Brunswick has been down to 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 0z Euro is back to cold now. One thing is for sure there's nothing set in stone. Not only cold, but with a snow chance for the interior. Even for the coast, wet snow in the end. 12z GFS is pretty close as well for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Not only cold, but with a snow chance for the interior. Even for the coast, wet snow in the end. 12z GFS is pretty close as well for the interior. How are temps during the cold shot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 How are temps during the cold shot? 0z euro has 34-38 degrees for NYC, northern Queens, Bronx and most of Jersey (away from the coast). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 12z GFS also brings the city and west into the 30's, several times in the day 7-11 timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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