IrishRob17 Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 High ratios FTW! Albany snow map shows me straddling the 11" contour in Dutchess. We will see. I think there could be some surprises (good and bad!) with this storm. Such an explosive set-up. http://www.erh.noaa....now_PNS/WSW.htm You being further east than I am will help you out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Love this latest AFD from Albany. http://forecast.weat...0&highlight=off This - ...THE CHAIN REACTION AND EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL CREATE SNOW MUSHROOM CLOUDS AND STELLAR DENDRITIC SNOW CLUSTER FALLOUT. WELL...THAT MIGHT BE OVERSTATED A LITTLE BIT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Love this latest AFD from Albany. http://forecast.weat...0&highlight=off Whoever writes the AFD's there sure is a character. They did the same thing yesterday THE CHAIN REACTION AND EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL CREATE SNOW MUSHROOM CLOUDS AND STELLAR DENDRITIC SNOW CLUSTER FALLOUT. WELL...THAT MIGHT BE OVERSTATED A LITTLE BIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 Classic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 This is from yesterdays ALB AFD ...WITH THE GULF STREAM AND THERMAL GRADIENT BAROCLINICITY LIGHTING THE FUSE. THE NORTHERN STREAM UPPER ENERGY AND DYNAMICS COULD SUPPORT SOME ENSUING CONVECTIVE FIREWORKS AND THE SNOW BOMBS BURSTING IN AIR AS THE STORM DEVELOPS OFF THE CAROLINAS AND MID ATLANTIC COAST. O.K. THAT MIGHT HAVE BEEN TOO POETIC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I hven't had a lot of time to keep up with the storm today but I heard Craig Allen on CBS AM on the drive home voicing some concern about the storm not bombing out in time for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 CBS in NYC is Accuweather now so that should have been expected after what Henry M said earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0019 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0700 PM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN PA...NJ...SERN NY AND SRN CT CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 120100Z - 120600Z SNOWFALL RATES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING FROM ERN PA AND NJ THROUGH SERN NY AND SRN CT. RATES LOCALLY GREATER THAN 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AFTER 03Z. THIS EVENING A STRONG 150+ KT UPPER JET WAS MOVING EWD THROUGH BASE OF TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE OH VALLEY. AGEOSTROPHIC FORCING WITHIN EXIT REGION OF THIS FEATURE WILL OVERTAKE BAROCLINIC ZONE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC SEABOARD...RESULTING IN DEEPENING OF SURFACE LOW OFF THE VA COAST AS IT LIFTS NWD OVERNIGHT. THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FRONTOGENETIC FORCING AND A STRENGTHENING LLJ WHICH WILL AUGMENT ISENTROPIC LIFT FROM THE MID ATLANTIC SEABOARD NWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. TRENDS ALREADY INDICATE SNOW EXPANDING IN COVERAGE FROM ERN PA INTO NJ. THE SNOW WILL LIKELY BECOME ORGANIZED AS BANDS LATER THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITHIN UPPER JET EXIT REGION WILL RESULT IN CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT WITH SOME LIGHTNING ACTIVITY ALSO POSSIBLE. A DEEP SUBFREEZING LAYER WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE MOSTLY AOA -5C WILL EXIST BENEATH THE DEVELOPING UNSTABLE LAYER WHICH COULD SERVE TO FURTHER AUGMENT SNOWFLAKE GROWTH THROUGH AGGREGATION. RATES WILL LIKELY LOCALLY EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY WITHIN CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Started snowing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Started snowing here Radar is starting to pop. Pertty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Started snowing here Here too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0019 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0700 PM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN PA...NJ...SERN NY AND SRN CT CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 120100Z - 120600Z SNOWFALL RATES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING FROM ERN PA AND NJ THROUGH SERN NY AND SRN CT. RATES LOCALLY GREATER THAN 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AFTER 03Z. THIS EVENING A STRONG 150+ KT UPPER JET WAS MOVING EWD THROUGH BASE OF TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE OH VALLEY. AGEOSTROPHIC FORCING WITHIN EXIT REGION OF THIS FEATURE WILL OVERTAKE BAROCLINIC ZONE OFF THE Thanks for posting, here is the map for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Just started snowing here in eastern Orange county. 24.1/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bm555 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Started here in Harriman around 830, everything covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Popped outside, snow has ramped up nicely in the last 10 minutes to moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Started here in Harriman around 830, everything covered Hey BM, welcome to the HV thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 All of this talk about the low forming closer to the coast is very interesting, as are the reports of sleet and rain. It will be interesting to see if this continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bm555 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Hey BM, welcome to the HV thread Thanks, TJay. Still light snow here maybe a half inch down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Popped outside, snow has ramped up nicely in the last 10 minutes to moderate. Here too picked up nicely. Also, my temp fell down 1 full deg in 1/2 an hour. Now 23.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 All of this talk about the low forming closer to the coast is very interesting, as are the reports of sleet and rain. It will be interesting to see if this continues. Yes I was just going to post that I see reports of rain and sleet from the jersey shore. Very interesting for sure Rob. 22.1F here and falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Yes I was just going to post that I see reports of rain and sleet from the jersey shore. Very interesting for sure Rob. 22.1F here and falling 20.6 here and still falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 20.6 here and still falling I just seen two reports of sleet in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Moderate Snow & 19.8*... 1.2" of Accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I just seen two reports of sleet in Brooklyn Def. good signs if we want this sucka comin west Raining up and down the Jersey coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Def. good signs if we want this sucka comin west Raining up and down the Jersey coast. Sure is. Just came back in with the dogs. I seen a flash and a report. It was either lightning or a transformer popped off towards Campbell Hall. I'm thinking it was a transformer, the sound was high pitched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Got a solid 2 inches down here in Monroe and its pouring snow. We are off to a great start and its not in full swing yet. I think we are in for a nice event here in the Hudson. Hopefully we all get at least a foot : ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyR Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Moderate snow in Pleasant Valley. A little over an inch so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Ripping here as well. Nice when we catch a band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I just seen two reports of sleet in Brooklyn S Fork of LI is already over freezing and just RN, CC is up to 36 and will probably rise another 10...RUC looks good to me which takes slp over BID and CC and slows it up there...HV and ALB look good here, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Heavy Snow 4.8" so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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