hckyplayer8 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Those graphics are great. Thanks for those - can't wait to see more as we get unto winter storms. Yeah had a nice shower around 12:30, it wants to rain in HBG and looking at radar ... she'll get her wish. Irene loves land - she looks better when over land than in open water; she did the same thing over Puerto Rico earlier. It'll be a Cat 1 when it his Jersey because so much got inland in NC. A really unique storm, no doubt. Its amazing the models have been able to pick up on that. Made no sense, but some runs were deepening the storm as it crossed NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Euro and GFS have Irene now west of NYC, which is different than previously modeled. I'm assuming that pushes more rain into the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 ... I'm beginning to wonder if HBG will see more than 2". Radar shows rain overhead yet nothing has fallen for a few hours. Virga much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Winds picking up in Northern Lebanon county. Would venture a guess that we are starting to gust into the mid to high teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 ... I'm beginning to wonder if HBG will see more than 2". Radar shows rain overhead yet nothing has fallen for a few hours. Virga much? At least you're under something... I doubt we see 2.00" at this point here. SPC WRF only gives us light rain tomorrow morning. EDIT: That was yesterday's map I think. Yikes. My fail. Still, 2.00" may be a a struggle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jen2swt Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Steady rain for at least 45 mins with some gusts probably in the mid teens I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 ... I'm beginning to wonder if HBG will see more than 2". Radar shows rain overhead yet nothing has fallen for a few hours. Virga much? Its a real fine mist here. Definitely has this tropical feel to it. Damn sticky out there. Going to be hitting the ridge tops tonight. Lookout Point provides roughly 1300ft of elevation with a clear view out of the South/Southeast. Wish I had ordered that new propeller for my cheapo kestrel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 up to .2" of rain...steady at the moment. wind gusts to the low 20's now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just got crushed by this outer fringe Irene band, i suppose i might've just gotten a good bit of that .4-.5" the Euro had forecasted for AOO and UNV in about 20 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just got crushed by this outer fringe Irene band, i suppose i might've just gotten a good bit of that .4-.5" the Euro had forecasted for AOO and UNV in about 20 minutes Yeah, this thing fired up a little more than I thought it would. Getting our little mini-taste of Irene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Light rain in Harrisburg. I'm ready for a storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 This reminds me of last winter. Waiting around in Harrisburg while all the action happens to the south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Ha, I know riight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Took a quick trip to Lookout Point. Winds already getting pretty good up there. Being reduced to the Beaufort scale, gusts were coming out of the ENE at aprox. 20-25 mph. Rains picking up too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jen2swt Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Weatherbug has Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Seems low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Heavy rates now rotating into the lower portions of the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Yeah, this thing fired up a little more than I thought it would. Getting our little mini-taste of Irene. I guess now we shall see how close that rain shield gets to AOO/UNV overnight and tomorrow morning. Just noticed 21z HRRR punches the western side deep into PA. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/jsloop.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr:&runTime=2011082721&plotName=cref_t3sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR Model Fields&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t3&wjet=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 LOL, it's not even raining here, even looks like some breaking up in the clouds...fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 I guess now we shall see how close that rain shield gets to AOO/UNV overnight and tomorrow morning. Just noticed 21z HRRR punches the western side deep into PA. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/jsloop.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr:&runTime=2011082721&plotName=cref_t3sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR Model Fields&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t3&wjet=1 15z SREFS and 18z NAM were also significantly west, but looking at the radar trends, I'm not sure I buy it yet. The back edge of the shield is not making much (if any) progress towards us at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jen2swt Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Pouring here in Red Lion....Wish we would see a bit more action though...10-15mph winds? It's like a summertime thunderstorm but without the thunder and lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 This is boring, when do the winter shafts start up so I can get pissed about something that I can't control? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 This is boring, when do the winter shafts start up so I can get pissed about something that I can't control? It feels like winter...epic weather off to our east while we're left snoozing... Red-taggers, when can we expect actual rain to get in here...and not like 30sec showers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Pouring here in Red Lion....Wish we would see a bit more action though...10-15mph winds? It's like a summertime thunderstorm but without the thunder and lightning The center is roughly 350 miles away. So as the center approaches, even inland, low lying areas, winds will start picking up into the 30's. The thing that sucks is this may be well on its way to our NE by the time daylight happens. Nothing but night storms here lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Yeah, this thing fired up a little more than I thought it would. Getting our little mini-taste of Irene. We got .34. Overperforming ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 15z SREFS and 18z NAM were also significantly west, but looking at the radar trends, I'm not sure I buy it yet. The back edge of the shield is not making much (if any) progress towards us at the moment. Yea, i'm thinking it'll be late in the game when it may attempt to overrun our immediate area for a time and perhaps deliver a couple hour period of steady rain to perhaps places on a line from say Bedford to Huntingdon to Bellefonte. It is interesting how things are coming west a bit. But the 21z and now 22z HRRR is going a step further and delivering heavier rain all the way back almost to Johnstown... with the 22z giving a solid .5-1" to AOO/UNV through the 15hr period with moderate rain still lingering at hour 15. HRRR seems like it can be hit or miss with events, but it's been sneaking that shield west throughout today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 This is boring, when do the winter shafts start up so I can get pissed about something that I can't control? Last few frames of nexrad is showing that heavier rain is starting to make a press into the Harrisburg area. It feels like winter...epic weather off to our east while we're left snoozing... Red-taggers, when can we expect actual rain to get in here...and not like 30sec showers? It should be soon, I know the radar movement is comparable to watching the grass grow.. but you'll be socked in within the next hour or two. And actually, like with Candersons neck of woods.. the last couple frames have showed a surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Yea, i'm thinking it'll be late in the game when it may attempt to overrun our immediate area for a time and perhaps deliver a couple hour period of steady rain to perhaps places on a line from say Bedford to Huntingdon to Bellefonte. It is interesting how things are coming west a bit. But the 21z and now 22z HRRR is going a step further and delivering heavier rain all the way back almost to Johnstown... with the 22z giving a solid .5-1" to AOO/UNV through the 15hr period with moderate rain still lingering at hour 15. HRRR seems like it can be hit or miss with events, but it's been sneaking that shield west throughout today. Will be interesting to see had the radar unfolds in the coming hours. I've been watching that bright band of yellow push pretty steadily northwestward towards Harrisburg in the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Unless the COC picks up more of a Northeasterly direction, it will pass just a hair West of the 3GMT 12z Euro checkpoint. This would make a potential brush with Chincoteague and OC, MD more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 It feels like winter...epic weather off to our east while we're left snoozing... Red-taggers, when can we expect actual rain to get in here...and not like 30sec showers? Last few frames of nexrad is showing that heavier rain is starting to make a press into the Harrisburg area. It should be soon, I know the radar movement is comparable to watching the grass grow.. but you'll be socked in within the next hour or two. And actually, like with Candersons neck of woods.. the last couple frames have showed a surge. PSUHazle, NWS has you guys getting most of your rain after midnight, so I wouldn't get too bent out of shape over it. I note the surge also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Some heavier rain just arrived in HBg. Chad Myers on CNN just said in NYC, if the storm has 60 mph winds, the tunneling affect will create 100 mph winds on the ground. Is he Henry M's cousin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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