ski MRG Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 I love everyone embracing the torch. We've got just about all posters now enhjoying the heat and humidity that is coming. Only Mrg and GAY are left. We'll get them too Fortunately I have to deal with very little heat most years. This one will be no exception. A few warm days at th is time of year is to be expected.I'll never embrace the heat. I simply despise it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 NAM wants to backdoor much of ne mass down to near BOS Friday and Saturday. Hopefully it's wrong, but I hate seeing that. Garbage and nonsense..Toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Garbage and nonsense..Toss it It may have the right idea, just not sure how far south it gets. Backdoor doesn't have to mean low clouds and fog either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 It may have the right idea, just not sure how far south it gets. Backdoor doesn't have to mean low clouds and fog either. Hopefully it stays north of you guys..so we can all torch and sweat Fri and Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 NAM MET ftl today...way too cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 It may have the right idea, just not sure how far south it gets. Backdoor doesn't have to mean low clouds and fog either. Looks to me like that feature would be held up E of a ASH-PVD line...perhaps limited to 495 --> seaward. That's per this run though... It's May - we're lucky there isn't one blasting SW toward PHL like the p-wave off a nuclear bomb blast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Man--just ran into Greenfield. Truck thermometer hit 83* in downtown. It was reading 74 when I pulled into my driveway. Meanwhile 72.9/57 on the DP2. Too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Looks to me like that feature would be held up E of a ASH-PVD line...perhaps limited to 495 --> seaward. That's per this run though... It's May - we're lucky there isn't one blasting SW toward PHL like the p-wave off a nuclear bomb blast Yeah I know..lol. I don't even know if it will happen..just saying what it shows. The euro brings big heat on Monday and Tuesday BTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 NAM MET ftl today...way too cool. Pure garbage..that POS has been running too cold..even last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Wow, heatwave if the euro is right. Monday-Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 H~E~A~V~E~N 74/53 sunny south wind off the cool waters of long island sound. this is a 10, perfect day, keep them coming..................Best Spring Ever Rolls On :sun: :sun: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Wow, heatwave if the euro is right. Monday-Wed. 95-100 / 73 dews ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 95-100 / 73 dews ?? Lots of wrly flow so dews probably won't be oppressive, but trajectory of heat says, hot stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Lots of wrly flow so dews probably won't be oppressive, but trajectory of heat says, hot stuff. Wow if westerly flow that's a lot of 93-98 type heat. Congrats Mrg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Yeah I know..lol. I don't even know if it will happen..just saying what it shows. The euro brings big heat on Monday and Tuesday BTW. ha ha, f me - the typical sites I use for the ECM never loaded the 12z data. Jerks - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 25, 2011 Author Share Posted May 25, 2011 76.4 so far for a high in Hubbardston (as per PDFamily) Thursday looks toasty but not too bad. Memorial day-Weds scorcher? :axe: and a for Blizz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 ha ha, f me - the typical sites I use for the ECM never loaded the 12z data. Jerks - You would be very impressed at the evolution of this. Classic heat plume going over the top and frying Montreal before sagging into SNE with +20C temps at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 25, 2011 Author Share Posted May 25, 2011 Wow if westerly flow that's a lot of 93-98 type heat. Congrats Mrg Starting Monday? until Weds? Finally, a true torch... at least it won't be too humid. I'm fine with that Woe are those who have no AC. Pray to Rev Kev for absolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Starting Monday? until Weds? Finally, a true torch... at least it won't be too humid. I'm fine with that Woe are those who have no AC. Pray to Rev Kev for absolution MRG may have to sleep naked out on the picnic table for a few nights next week.. It might be 85 in his bedroom with the kind of torch that is coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 25, 2011 Author Share Posted May 25, 2011 You would be very impressed at the evolution of this. Classic heat plume going over the top and frying Montreal before sagging into SNE with +20C temps at 850. Maybe helping to touch of some SNE version of severe at the end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Euro says what backdoor for ENE this weekend to the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 You would be very impressed at the evolution of this. Classic heat plume going over the top and frying Montreal before sagging into SNE with +20C temps at 850. Yep, finally just saw it! I would also add that the W-Fri panels look dubiously too fast to break down the ridge. If you look at the Tuesday frame and compare it to the Wed, classic dampening without having any synoptic reason for it - not sure why these global models do that ..intersting. Anyway, we should also look for that 20+C air mass to be muted some and perhaps 21 or 22C given the Sonoran origin - if this is mainly correct. Not trying to over sell this - really - but I almost reminds me of last year's May 28th 98F high at FIT and ASH. That was an awesome day!!! I had a meso go right over Ayer Mass at 10:30 at night, and it had strobe lightning as it moved away toward the S... Most spectucular nocturnal vista I had ever seen, with a strobing CB (CA, and CG, and CC), with a the full moon coming out over the top of the anvil as it receded S.... Just almost no words for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Maybe helping to touch of some SNE version of severe at the end? Maybe over the top stuff in the heat...but verbatim nothing really shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Yep, finally just saw it! I would also add that the W-Fri panels look dubiously too fast to break down the ridge. If you look at the Tuesday frame and compare it to the Wed, classic dampening without having any synoptic reason for it - not sure why these global models do that ..intersting. Anyway, we should also look for that 20+C air mass to be muted some and perhaps 21 or 22C given the Sonoran origin - if this is mainly correct. Not trying to over sell this - really - but I almost reminds me of last year's May 28th 98F high at FIT and ASH. That was an awesome day!!! I had a meso go right over Ayer Mass at 10:30 at night, and it had strobe lightning as it moved away toward the S... Most spectucular nocturnal vista I had ever seen, with a strobing CB (CA, and CG, and CC), with a the full moon coming out over the top of the anvil as it receded S.... Just almost no words for that. Were you pretending you were at a RAVE during the storm and dancing around in Mom's basement naked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Pure garbage..that POS has been running too cold..even last week i don't know how it did in CT or W MA but i think it was pretty solid last week. 12z euro is nice and toasty next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Yep, finally just saw it! I would also add that the W-Fri panels look dubiously too fast to break down the ridge. If you look at the Tuesday frame and compare it to the Wed, classic dampening without having any synoptic reason for it - not sure why these global models do that ..intersting. Anyway, we should also look for that 20+C air mass to be muted some and perhaps 21 or 22C given the Sonoran origin - if this is mainly correct. Not trying to over sell this - really - but I almost reminds me of last year's May 28th 98F high at FIT and ASH. That was an awesome day!!! I had a meso go right over Ayer Mass at 10:30 at night, and it had strobe lightning as it moved away toward the S... Most spectucular nocturnal vista I had ever seen, with a strobing CB (CA, and CG, and CC), with a the full moon coming out over the top of the anvil as it receded S.... Just almost no words for that. I think that was the big western mass severe. If it was, that had some vestiges of an EML. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Were you pretending you were at a RAVE during the storm and dancing around in Mom's basement naked? No, but you're welcome to dream... Btw: ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: FIT LAT= 42.55 LON= -71.75 ELE= 348 12Z MAY25 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK WED 12Z 25-MAY 17.4 9.9 1013 78 35 0.00 572 561 WED 18Z 25-MAY 23.0 10.2 1014 49 26 0.01 575 563 THU 00Z 26-MAY 18.7 11.3 1014 81 21 0.00 577 565 THU 06Z 26-MAY 13.3 11.6 1015 95 32 0.00 578 565 THU 12Z 26-MAY 17.5 13.3 1016 79 53 0.00 579 566 THU 18Z 26-MAY 25.5 15.9 1013 62 54 0.00 581 570 FRI 00Z 27-MAY 20.4 17.7 1013 88 40 0.00 581 571 FRI 06Z 27-MAY 18.1 17.9 1014 96 38 0.01 581 569 FRI 12Z 27-MAY 19.9 17.6 1015 86 34 0.00 581 569 FRI 18Z 27-MAY 27.7 16.9 1014 60 32 0.01 582 570 SAT 00Z 28-MAY 20.2 17.1 1016 92 27 0.04 582 568 SAT 06Z 28-MAY 16.4 17.7 1017 98 30 0.00 582 567 SAT 12Z 28-MAY 18.2 16.8 1019 86 44 0.00 582 566 SAT 18Z 28-MAY 25.8 15.2 1019 62 46 0.00 583 567 SUN 00Z 29-MAY 20.8 16.3 1020 87 40 0.00 585 568 SUN 06Z 29-MAY 17.3 15.1 1022 97 51 0.00 585 566 SUN 12Z 29-MAY 19.5 14.3 1024 83 32 0.00 587 567 SUN 18Z 29-MAY 25.6 13.4 1023 60 36 0.01 588 569 MON 00Z 30-MAY 21.0 15.5 1022 84 19 0.00 590 571 MON 06Z 30-MAY 17.1 15.7 1023 96 18 0.00 590 571 MON 12Z 30-MAY 19.5 16.2 1024 85 25 0.00 592 571 MON 18Z 30-MAY 28.7 17.8 1021 56 26 0.00 593 575 TUE 00Z 31-MAY 23.2 19.9 1021 83 23 0.00 594 577 TUE 06Z 31-MAY 19.0 20.2 1021 91 21 0.00 594 576 TUE 12Z 31-MAY 23.1 20.0 1021 79 21 0.00 594 576 TUE 18Z 31-MAY 31.8 19.8 1019 51 24 0.00 594 577 WED 00Z 01-JUN 25.9 20.5 1018 83 21 0.00 593 578 WED 06Z 01-JUN 21.4 20.5 1017 88 23 0.00 591 577 WED 12Z 01-JUN 25.1 18.6 1017 76 21 0.00 589 575 ....Having a D6 MOS product be 32C is pretty much not seen. Hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 i don't know how it did in CT or W MA but i think it was pretty solid last week. 12z euro is nice and toasty next week. I dob't know for sure..but Ryan posted that it's been running too cold..and that was for last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 No, but you're welcome to dream... Btw: ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: FIT LAT= 42.55 LON= -71.75 ELE= 348 12Z MAY25 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK WED 12Z 25-MAY 17.4 9.9 1013 78 35 0.00 572 561 WED 18Z 25-MAY 23.0 10.2 1014 49 26 0.01 575 563 THU 00Z 26-MAY 18.7 11.3 1014 81 21 0.00 577 565 THU 06Z 26-MAY 13.3 11.6 1015 95 32 0.00 578 565 THU 12Z 26-MAY 17.5 13.3 1016 79 53 0.00 579 566 THU 18Z 26-MAY 25.5 15.9 1013 62 54 0.00 581 570 FRI 00Z 27-MAY 20.4 17.7 1013 88 40 0.00 581 571 FRI 06Z 27-MAY 18.1 17.9 1014 96 38 0.01 581 569 FRI 12Z 27-MAY 19.9 17.6 1015 86 34 0.00 581 569 FRI 18Z 27-MAY 27.7 16.9 1014 60 32 0.01 582 570 SAT 00Z 28-MAY 20.2 17.1 1016 92 27 0.04 582 568 SAT 06Z 28-MAY 16.4 17.7 1017 98 30 0.00 582 567 SAT 12Z 28-MAY 18.2 16.8 1019 86 44 0.00 582 566 SAT 18Z 28-MAY 25.8 15.2 1019 62 46 0.00 583 567 SUN 00Z 29-MAY 20.8 16.3 1020 87 40 0.00 585 568 SUN 06Z 29-MAY 17.3 15.1 1022 97 51 0.00 585 566 SUN 12Z 29-MAY 19.5 14.3 1024 83 32 0.00 587 567 SUN 18Z 29-MAY 25.6 13.4 1023 60 36 0.01 588 569 MON 00Z 30-MAY 21.0 15.5 1022 84 19 0.00 590 571 MON 06Z 30-MAY 17.1 15.7 1023 96 18 0.00 590 571 MON 12Z 30-MAY 19.5 16.2 1024 85 25 0.00 592 571 MON 18Z 30-MAY 28.7 17.8 1021 56 26 0.00 593 575 TUE 00Z 31-MAY 23.2 19.9 1021 83 23 0.00 594 577 TUE 06Z 31-MAY 19.0 20.2 1021 91 21 0.00 594 576 TUE 12Z 31-MAY 23.1 20.0 1021 79 21 0.00 594 576 TUE 18Z 31-MAY 31.8 19.8 1019 51 24 0.00 594 577 WED 00Z 01-JUN 25.9 20.5 1018 83 21 0.00 593 578 WED 06Z 01-JUN 21.4 20.5 1017 88 23 0.00 591 577 WED 12Z 01-JUN 25.1 18.6 1017 76 21 0.00 589 575 ....Having a D6 MOS product be 32C is pretty much not seen. Hmm. is that truly a MOS product or is it the actual raw output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 I think that was the big western mass severe. If it was, that had some vestiges of an EML. Yes, it was actually - in fact, SPC put out a statement warning Middlsex Co about that MESO coming down from central NH... They mentioned pretty specifically that there was some localized SRH that was enhanced by a decaying sea-breeze boundary, and combined with high heat -related elevated cape could produce supercells through the evening. That cell was really something dude... I had overlapping lightning flashes with nickle hail for like 5 minutes with wind blowing from different directions. Then, again, as the storm moved away the full moon popped out over the top of the anvil and you could still see continuous lighting for the next half hour as that cell ripped toward NE CT. I think it died - rightfully so - just before getting to Kevina's house though. There was cluster of severe in VT that organized into an MCS and that went through western zones with force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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