Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/ http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/240159-2010-2011-winter-forecast/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/ http://www.easternus...inter-forecast/ Best part about that is that Socks agreed with my forecast! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Best part about that is that Socks agreed with my forecast! lol And we both ended up busting. I wasn't thinking as much of a torch as you, but agreed on below normal snowfall, and we know how that worked out, fortunately...However, the idea of December being the coldest month and February being the mildest was an accurate one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 And we both ended up busting. I wasn't thinking as much of a torch as you, but agreed on below normal snowfall, and we know how that worked out, fortunately...However, the idea of December being the coldest month and February being the mildest was an accurate one. 81" at Logan airport....impossible to get in a strong Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 81" at Logan airport....impossible to get in a strong Nina. http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/238435-official-forecast-for-winter-2010-11/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 And we both ended up busting. I wasn't thinking as much of a torch as you, but agreed on below normal snowfall, and we know how that worked out, fortunately...However, the idea of December being the coldest month and February being the mildest was an accurate one. Yeah, oh well. Kevin and Ginx use it to flame me but to be honest I think the seasonal forecast (for me) is just something fun to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 81" at Logan airport....impossible to get in a strong Nina. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Sorry Nate...quoting from my winter forecast thread on your post... "I like the Atlantic SSTs and high snow cover but I don't think this can overcome such a powerful Niña. Even if we do see a -NAO this winter, which is somewhat likely in my opinion, it'll be more like a 54-55 type of block where the -NAO is displaced a bit south and the PV north of Alaska dominates the pattern. I like around 40-45" for BOS with temperatures slightly above average; March should be a good month for winter lovers, however. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Yeah, oh well. Kevin and Ginx use it to flame me but to be honest I think the seasonal forecast (for me) is just something fun to do. Ryan sorry but I was really happy the DB was back, had to use you as a link. I mean payback is a muthafooka LOL seriously your reasoning was very sound but it's a crapshoot in NE every year. I posted article after article showing why NAO was the main playa up here but was discredited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Sorry Nate...quoting from my winter forecast thread on your post... "I like the Atlantic SSTs and high snow cover but I don't think this can overcome such a powerful Niña. Even if we do see a -NAO this winter, which is somewhat likely in my opinion, it'll be more like a 54-55 type of block where the -NAO is displaced a bit south and the PV north of Alaska dominates the pattern. I like around 40-45" for BOS with temperatures slightly above average; March should be a good month for winter lovers, however. " No this is fine...the idea of a -NAO in December that I forecasted came to fruition, as did the idea of a milder February with blocking breaking down and the mean trough moving into the west. March did turn cold in the 2nd half as everyone was expecting in a Niña, but just a little bit too late for most of us. I'd probably give my winter forecast a B/B-...I messed up snowfall and how quickly the blocking would break down in January (didn't happen until after the 1/12 KU, and then the MJO-induced +PNA saved us), but the general progression wasn't terrible. As expected, the -NAO was dominant early in the winter, the strong Niña dominant late in the winter. Not an awful call but not as good as my 09-10 forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Jerry this my favorite quote from that thread from Ray to me Ginx snewx, on 26 September 2010 - 02:41 AM, said: Awesome it appears we are lock sync in the exact thinking, unreal how we independently arrive at what is basically the same forecast including two majors. Good luck wishes to you are the same to me. Old man winter my man. I'm not sure how two weenies in a pod could both independently arrive at snow. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 81" at Logan airport....impossible to get in a strong Nina. I feel like this winter basically proves it's all about the NAO giving us big coastals. We can do well in any ENSO state as long as the NAO is negative, although a weak Niño is certainly the most preferable followed by weak Niña. NYC had its third snowiest winter on record this season, something we all thought impossible given the Pacific. However, once the NAO blocking broke down in late January, almost nothing fell in Central Park, and even New England suffered a bit in February and particularly March. I was thinking the strong La Niña pattern would assert itself earlier...it took its time but did arrive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 My description of winter was awful even if the bottom line was good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 My description of winter was awful even if the bottom line was good. Hmm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Yeah, oh well. Kevin and Ginx use it to flame me but to be honest I think the seasonal forecast (for me) is just something fun to do. Then again this was Kevs in August in BIrvs thread Posted 16 August 2010 - 07:50 PM BOS: 28'' PVD: 26'' ORH: 58'' ASH: 62'' MHT: 64'' HYA: 13'' EWB: 19'' BDL: 39'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 My description of winter was awful even if the bottom line was good. Jerry your early call Posted 16 August 2010 - 08:47 PM BOS: 82 PVD: 66 ORH: 111 ASH: 85 MHT: 100 HYA: 49 EWB: 64 BDL: 91 1995-96 combined with 93-94 and 60-61. I'm not kidding...this one is going to be one for the ages. Wildcard? Nina gets way stronger than I think it will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/235933-your-early-predictionguesses-snowfall-10-11/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Ray to Jerry weathafella, on 16 August 2010 - 10:48 PM, said: 96 You on crizack. See you in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Jerry in case you forgot, from Ray weathafella, on 16 August 2010 - 11:25 PM, said: What will you give me? If I get 90"+....two dinners, complete with your choice of wine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Me responding to BIrving Posted 17 August 2010 - 03:19 AM BIrving, on 17 August 2010 - 02:27 AM, said: 100"+ here.....I doubt it. See you in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I should have stuck with my original call. All the mets scared me down to 73....lol... Original was almost dead on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Will FTW weathafella, on 18 August 2010 - 11:52 PM, said: You will....I have no doubt. Most of us will. Hopefully all of us see a 30"+ snow pack at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Why is it back? Someone new buy it out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Why is it back? Someone new buy it out? Yep kid named Martin, awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Old topics are locked... some new stoopid ones in WxDisco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Man this is great, only Pete Jerry and I were on this winter, so much to look at on Eastern, lots of stuff already downloaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 DT predicts snowy winter thread. Ryan posts and then BOB responds..lol rfhpsu, on 29 October 2010 - 11:04 AM, said: Love DT but violently disagree We shall see who is violently wrong than, won't we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 My description of winter was awful even if the bottom line was good. right for the wrong reasons. "A big basis of my winter forecast thread. I think it comes in 2...once in Feb, once in March. Residual cold in Feb from the late January boreal invasion with a suddenly active northern jet should do the trick and I agree....Miller B time....biggest storm since 2005 and possibly eclipsing it...the February event. March will be interesting also since Nina Marches are frequently magical....but I suspect it will be the glorified warm front and after that event, winter's over in a big way." oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mica Vim Toot Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 right for the wrong reasons. "A big basis of my winter forecast thread. I think it comes in 2...once in Feb, once in March. Residual cold in Feb from the late January boreal invasion with a suddenly active northern jet should do the trick and I agree....Miller B time....biggest storm since 2005 and possibly eclipsing it...the February event. March will be interesting also since Nina Marches are frequently magical....but I suspect it will be the glorified warm front and after that event, winter's over in a big way." oops You used to be relevant back then on that board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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