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3/23-3/24 threat OBS


LVblizzard

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000
NOUS41 KPHI 231518
PNSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-240319-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1119 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 10 HOURS
FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION.  APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED
TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS 
AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS.  THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR 
HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/PHI

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS                   
                    SNOWFALL           OF 
                    /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

NEW JERSEY

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
  WERTSVILLE             2.9   914 AM  3/23                          
  WHITEHOUSE STATION     2.4   705 AM  3/23                          
  LEBANON                2.1   614 AM  3/23                          
  BETHLEHEM TWP          2.0   633 AM  3/23                          
  FLEMINGTON             1.6   818 AM  3/23                          

...MERCER COUNTY...
  WEST WINDSOR TWP       1.0   535 AM  3/23                          
  HIGHTSTOWN             0.5   846 AM  3/23                          

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
  METUCHEN               1.8   511 AM  3/23                          
  EDISON                 1.7   505 AM  3/23                          

...MONMOUTH COUNTY...
  MANASQUAN              0.4   817 AM  3/23                          

...MORRIS COUNTY...
  MILTON                 7.5   750 AM  3/23                          
  MARCELLA               7.5   629 AM  3/23                          
  FLANDERS               6.5   805 AM  3/23                          
  RANDOLPH TWP           6.5   559 AM  3/23                          
  LAKE HOPATCONG         6.3   604 AM  3/23                          
  GREEN POND             5.5   804 AM  3/23                          
  JEFFERSON TWP          5.0   630 AM  3/23                          
  ROCKAWAY               4.5   430 AM  3/23                          
  LONG VALLEY            4.0   448 AM  3/23                          
  BOONTON                2.0   910 AM  3/23                          
  STIRLING               1.9   605 AM  3/23                          

...SOMERSET COUNTY...
  POTTERSVILLE           2.5   819 AM  3/23                          
  HILLSBOROUGH TWP       2.2   644 AM  3/23                          
  BRIDGEWATER TWP        2.0   630 AM  3/23                          
  SOMERVILLE             1.5   800 AM  3/23                          

...SUSSEX COUNTY...
  FREDON                 8.0   822 AM  3/23                          
  SPARTA                 6.0   707 AM  3/23                          
  LAFAYETTE TWP          4.0   914 AM  3/23                          
  NEWTON                 3.8   710 AM  3/23                          
  WANTAGE                1.8   749 AM  3/23                          

...WARREN COUNTY...
  BLAIRSTOWN             5.0   500 AM  3/23                          
  HACKETTSTOWN           3.5   702 AM  3/23                          
  STEWARTSVILLE          2.8   756 AM  3/23                          
  LIBERTY TWP            2.3   539 AM  3/23                          
  PHILLIPSBURG           2.0   845 AM  3/23                          

PENNSYLVANIA

...BUCKS COUNTY...
  FURLONG                0.2   858 AM  3/23                          

...CARBON COUNTY...
  KIDDER TWP             8.5   759 AM  3/23                          
  BELTZVILLE             3.5  1041 AM  3/23                          
  LEHIGHTON              1.0   914 AM  3/23                          

...LEHIGH COUNTY...
  ALLENTOWN              2.1   800 AM  3/23                          
  ALLENTOWN AIRPORT      2.1   800 AM  3/23                          

...MONROE COUNTY...
  TOBYHANNA              9.1  1002 AM  3/23                          
  BLAKESLEE              9.0  1000 AM  3/23                          
  POCONO SUMMIT          8.0   700 AM  3/23                          


**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION              24 HOUR     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS                   
                    SNOWFALL           OF 
                    /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

NEW JERSEY

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
  1 NW CALIFON           4.4   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  3 NNE HOLLAND TWP      3.3   720 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 WNW HIGH BRIDGE      2.7   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  4 N CLINTON TWP        2.4   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  3 N LEBANON            2.1   700 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 S BETHLEHEM TWP      2.0   730 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  3 SW LEBANON           2.0   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  E FLEMINGTON           1.3   730 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 WSW READINGTON TWP   1.2   820 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  4 NNW STOCKTON         1.0   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...MERCER COUNTY...
  1 NNW LAWRENCE TWP     0.3   630 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 WSW WASHINGTON TWP   0.2   745 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 ESE EWING TWP        0.1   859 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
  2 W NORTH BRUNSWICK    1.6   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...MONMOUTH COUNTY...
  1 E HOLMDEL TWP        1.0   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 NW RED BANK          0.9   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...MORRIS COUNTY...
  1 NE ROCKAWAY TWP      8.2   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 ESE RANDOLPH TWP     6.6   930 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 W RANDOLPH TWP       6.5   700 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 S ROXBURY TWP        5.6   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  NNW ROCKAWAY           5.5   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 ENE JEFFERSON TWP    5.0   730 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 E RANDOLPH TWP       4.5   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 E PARSIPPANY-TROY    3.0   930 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 SSE BOONTON TWP      1.5   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 NW CHATHAM           1.0   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...OCEAN COUNTY...
  1 SW POINT PLEASANT    0.3   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...SOMERSET COUNTY...
  1 NW BERNARDS TWP      2.5   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 ENE FRANKLIN TWP     2.0   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  3 NW BRIDGEWATER TWP   2.0   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  4 ENE FRANKLIN TWP     1.9   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 ENE BERNARDS TWP     1.5   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  5 ESE HILLSBOROUGH T   1.5   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  3 NE MONTGOMERY TWP    1.5   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 NNE MONTGOMERY TWP   1.0   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...SUSSEX COUNTY...
  3 SE HARDYSTON TWP     3.1   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 SE WANTAGE TWP       1.5   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 N VERNON TWP         0.5   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...WARREN COUNTY...
  2 SE BLAIRSTOWN TWP    6.0   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 NNW ALLAMUCHY TWP    4.5   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  3 WNW MANSFIELD TWP    4.0   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 W HACKETTSTOWN       3.5   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 S GREENWICH TWP      2.8   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  2 WSW LIBERTY TWP      2.3   600 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 SSW OXFORD TWP       2.3   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  1 ENE WASHINGTON       1.7   700 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

PENNSYLVANIA

...BERKS COUNTY...
  2 ESE FLEETWOOD        0.9   930 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  3 SSW MOHNTON          0.2   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...CARBON COUNTY...
  1 W WEATHERLY          5.2   830 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  4 NE PALMERTON         4.5   900 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  3 WSW LEHIGHTON        2.9   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...LEHIGH COUNTY...
  4 W ALLENTOWN          1.7   915 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
  1 S GILBERTSVILLE      0.2   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

...NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...
  E MARTINS CREEK        2.3   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                
  4 S GLENDON            1.5   800 AM  3/23  COCORAHS                

$$

KEK/DI/VM

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GFS has been sinking south with its own precip bullseye this evening. The NAM and GFS soundings are significantly different... though even the NAM is still mostly rain at TTN with the cooling occurring after most of the precip has moved through (most of it is before 3Z).

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AS of 5 am, woke up to a nice surprise: snowing moderately with 1.8" of snow already on the ground, including even about an inch or so on the asphalt street in front of my house. Temps are about 32-33F according to the various Weatherbug stations around me (32.8F at my house). So we've already achieved our storm forecast, lol. Radar looks very healthy - I could see 3-4" if this rate holds up before the sun starts to do any damage, i.e., before about 8 am. Haven't read the thread to know if everyone else is seeing the same. Snowfall maps from the NWS don't look any different. Hmmmm.....

NWS just expanded the WSWarnings to Northampton, Warren and Morris counties, yet still not even a WWAdvisory for Middlesex, where I now (as of 5:30 am) have over 2" and many folks sound like they're seeing similar amounts and given the radar, there's more on the way at least until sunrise. A friend just told me he has over an inch in West Windsor in southern Middlesex County. Traffic cams look like even 80/78 are a bit snow covered and I'm sure secondary roads are slick in most places. I think the NWS needs to wake up on this one, especially for the I-95 corridor in the Philly and NYC CWAs.

Well, I left for work around 7:30 am, with the snow having been much lighter since about 6 am; roads were fine by then with a small amount of snow only on a few side streets and nothing on Route 1 (a friend of mine did report that 287 in our area was partly snow-covered at 5 am). Ended up with 2.5" on the colder surfaces (my car) when I left and I doubt there's been any further accumulation - in fact, the snow here in Rahway, 9 miles to the NE looks to be melting. They never did issue WWAdvisories, I guess.

Looks like some rain through the evening, then a change back to snow and perhaps another 1-2" here. Would love that. Anyone know if the NWS snowfall maps are for total snowfall for the entire event or after a certain time (they really ought to put a "for the time starting at x and ending at y" comment on those maps)? Map has me in about a 3" area, which would mean I might only get 0.5"more. The 2.5", so far, brings me to 63.0" for the season - not bad.

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Quite a letdown here. Looks like maybel another small batch of rain this evening here and that will be it.

After sitting on the edge of the 5" line yesterday on the NWS snow map with winter storm warnings up just

10 miles away and then winding up with a little mixed slop before daybreak and just some off and on rain

this morning. Such is life at 40N in late March...

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Quite a letdown here. Looks like maybel another small batch of rain this evening here and that will be it.

After sitting on the edge of the 5" line yesterday on the NWS snow map with winter storm warnings up just

10 miles away and then winding up with a little mixed slop before daybreak and just some off and on rain

this morning. Such is life at 40N in late March...

You should get at least a little more this evening.

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Well, I left for work around 7:30 am, with the snow having been much lighter since about 6 am; roads were fine by then with a small amount of snow only on a few side streets and nothing on Route 1 (a friend of mine did report that 287 in our area was partly snow-covered at 5 am). Ended up with 2.5" on the colder surfaces (my car) when I left and I doubt there's been any further accumulation - in fact, the snow here in Rahway, 9 miles to the NE looks to be melting. They never did issue WWAdvisories, I guess.

Looks like some rain through the evening, then a change back to snow and perhaps another 1-2" here. Would love that. Anyone know if the NWS snowfall maps are for total snowfall for the entire event or after a certain time (they really ought to put a "for the time starting at x and ending at y" comment on those maps)? Map has me in about a 3" area, which would mean I might only get 0.5"more. The 2.5", so far, brings me to 63.0" for the season - not bad.

AFD says

WE WILL
LEAVE THE SNOW STORM TOTAL GRAPHIC ON THE WEB AND CONSIDER IT SNOW
THAT BOTH ALREADY HAS OCCURRED AND FUTURE SNOW (TONIGHT).

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12Z EC QPF for this evening is worlds apart from the GFS and NAM. Much much drier... where the NAM and GFS have 0.25-0.5 with bubbles of 0.5+, the EC mainly has 0.01-0.1 except in central NJ where it edges in some 0.1-0.25.

Will be very interesting to see which model is correct.

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