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NE OK/ NW AR/ SE KS/ SW MO Winter 2011 Part 2


okie333

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TUL update:

LATEST MODELS CONFIRM...AND STRENGTHEN LIKELIHOOD

OF RECORD/NEAR RECORD SNOWFALL PARTS OF NORTHEAST

OKLAHOMA. MODELS ALSO INCREASE WINDS. MAJOR STORM.

FOR THIS UPDATE...ADJUSTED TEMPS AND LIMITED PRECIP

FOR THE AFTERNOON PRECIP TO JUST FAR EAST ZONES.

KNOCKED OFF 6 HOURS FROM THE BACK END OF THE WINTER

STORM WARNING TO MIDNIGHT TUESDAY. JUST WINDY COLD

WITH FLURRIES AFTER MIDNIGHT.

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lol jomo.....Looks like freezing rain after 6pm here then a switch to sleet/snow mix after midnight. I read the word thunderstorms as well. Man im really worried about this freezing rain once again should I be? Im prepared except a backup heat source which is the most important lol....need more stores in these tiny lil freakin towns lol

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Euro from Chicago Storm:

24hrs: 1004mb SLP in E. Texas.

Heavy precip across TX/OK.

30hrs: Sub 1004mb SLP in E. Arkansas.

Nice hit from OKC to KC.

36hrs: 996mb SLP in far SE. Missouri.

Nice hit from C. Illinois down into E. Kansas.

Sounds like it didn't budge much.. Once it locked on.

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I'm in Conway, MO. Looking at the BUFKIT there is a site just outside of town labeled P#H. For the 12Z GFS Cobb output it is showing 30.9 in of snow! Am I reading that right? Wow!

It's overdoing amounts, may want to cut that in half. Maybe a little more snow than just half though.

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Seems like the media is concentrating on the ice. 12-18 in of snow in this area can be devastating. Roof collapses, power outages and no way to get anywhere. At least in the bad ice storms we've had, the roads were for the most part clear and people could evacuate to somewhere with power. My husband is the manager for the Webster Co and Ava ambulances and has been working on emergency plans for the last few days. Ambulances are not off road vehicles!

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Wichita updated forecast discussion:

We are strongly considering upgrading far southeast Kansas counties to 
a Blizzard Warning for later tonight through Tuesday night given 
prognosticated intense snowfall rates/amounts and halacious drifting 
expected. We are coordinating with surrounding offices to our 
northeast...east...and southeast. Snowfall rates/amounts will be 
lesser further west/northwest into central/S-cntrl Kansas and going 
headlines looking reasonable there. 

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Seems like the media is concentrating on the ice. 12-18 in of snow in this area can be devastating. Roof collapses, power outages and no way to get anywhere. At least in the bad ice storms we've had, the roads were for the most part clear and people could evacuate to somewhere with power. My husband is the manager for the Webster Co and Ava ambulances and has been working on emergency plans for the last few days. Ambulances are not off road vehicles!

Its the opposite here in my town. The roads are horribly taken care of in snow or ice :( . We are the last road on the edge of town with only a few houses on it and it just seems they dont even bother or care about this road. We complained last time cause we couldnt get out cause the end of this road is a pretty steep grade. They finally came and plowed it after many complaints from us and the neighbors lol. But yea 12-18" of snow will cripple the area and that freezing rain below the snow. Its just going to be awfull.

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12z Euro QPF: Starting midnite tonite..

FAY - 1.01 (.23 ice; .61 Tue AM as temps fall prolly at least half snow; .17 for sure snow)

JLN - 1.43 all snow

OKC - 1.22 all snow

TUL - 1.44 all snow

SGF - 1.18 should just about be all snow.

May I ask about ICT, TOP, and CNU if you have those available? Thanks!

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12z Euro QPF: Starting midnite tonite..

FAY - 1.01 (.23 ice; .61 Tue AM as temps fall prolly at least half snow; .17 for sure snow)

JLN - 1.43 all snow

OKC - 1.22 all snow

TUL - 1.44 all snow

SGF - 1.18 should just about be all snow.

A little less but still a ton of snow. :D

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