okie333 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can you run a regional view of the 4 state area with county boundaries (KS/MO/OK/AR) on the snow maps? That would really be awesome. Or just a more zoomed in view? Maybe for tomorrow's 12Z onward. No counties though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Maybe for tomorrow's 12Z onward. No counties though. That would be great. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Do you know the max gusts okie333? GFS looks blizzardworthy with 850-925MB winds pretty insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Meanwhile the Springfield Mets keep running with 3-6". *sigh* Lighty actually had some bigger totals tonite, like 6-10 along and NW of I-44. Said he may have to push the bigger totals SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Guys is it really possible for this thing to dump 20-30" of snow realistically? I just dont know what to say really. My mouth hit the floor when i saw those maps Not really, there is a reason most places in the Midwest and Plains have record snow events generally in the 12-16 inch range...the moisture is just not what you see along the East Coast for example or even Chicago or Cleveland where the Lakes can influence or enhance things a bit....convective elements cause the models to spit out crazy QPF often which they don't generally adjust down until inside 18-24 hours when they usually begin showing reasonable amounts...that said I do believe places in MO and NE OK will see around 14-16 inches but I'd be quite surprised if numbers in the 20s came about...even the 11/30/06 event which had widespread TSSN in W-C MO and a closed low the max amounts were generally 16-18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 hazardous weather outlook used the words very dangerous storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I read where RGEM has a 988 low. Is that correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Guys is it really possible for this thing to dump 20-30" of snow realistically? I just dont know what to say really. My mouth hit the floor when i saw those maps Chances are low, but not zero. In late March, 2009, some isolated locations in NW Oklahoma received upwards of 25" of snow. So it is possible, but everything has to line up perfectly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think Springfield, MO's snowiest day was 19.5" in 1912. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 If the warm layer is more than forecast I could have just insane ice...that would be very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I read where RGEM has a 988 low. Is that correct? Probably too strong, GGEM has a 995 though. NAM is currently the outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Probably too strong, GGEM has a 995 though. NAM is currently the outlier. Just found it on the B&W charts. Has a 992 over S IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not really, there is a reason most places in the Midwest and Plains have record snow events generally in the 12-16 inch range...the moisture is just not what you see along the East Coast for example or even Chicago or Cleveland where the Lakes can influence or enhance things a bit....convective elements cause the models to spit out crazy QPF often which they don't generally adjust down until inside 18-24 hours when they usually begin showing reasonable amounts...that said I do believe places in MO and NE OK will see around 14-16 inches but I'd be quite surprised if numbers in the 20s came about...even the 11/30/06 event which had widespread TSSN in W-C MO and a closed low the max amounts were generally 16-18. Yea thats what I thought realistically. I was born and raised on the east coast and have seen some storms really bomb out there. Even there the biggest i ever seen was a 26" snowstorm. Yea thats a ton and it crippled the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 GFS snow overlays have updated if you want to see your county. It's beauuuuuuutiful here. http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 GFS snow overlays have updated if you want to see your county. It's beauuuuuuutiful here. http://wxcaster.com/...ow-overlays.htm Have you seen springfields latest snowfall graphic!!!! WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 We are all focusing on the snow and ice, and rightfully so. But the brutal cold coming shouldn't be forgotten. OKC BUFKIT shows a high of 11 on Wed, with a low of -4! That would be the coldest air here in 15 years. :shiver: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Have you seen springfields latest snowfall graphic!!!! WOW No, but here it is...... Kind of kills their 9 PM web briefing doesn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 No, but here it is...... Its just pure eye porn lol. Man this thing is gonna be one to remember if this all verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 tulsa looks to be on the dividing line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joplinmet Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Sorry I haven't been on here more. Updating blogs, looking at models, doing facebook and web are killing me. Here is my latest blog as of 20 minutes ago. http://www.koamtv.com/Global/story.asp?S=13936451 Oh I wanted to say how much I love this forum. Also there are a ton of you that are very sharp. I want you guys to know that. Us weather nerds, meteorologists or not have to stick together. Doug Heady Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Tulsa will do fine if the models have any clue. Mixing issues here.. PL looks to the winner here. tulsa looks to be on the dividing line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What's that 800 HP roaring engine sound? That's the Euro initializing..... Should be out pretty quickly tonight. It should look more like the GFS than the NAM. We shall see shortly. From Chicago Storm: 36hrs: Sub 1004mb SLP in E. Texas. Heavy precip from C. Texas to C. Oklahoma. 42hrs: 1000mb SLP in East/Central Arkansas. Nice hit from OKC to KC 48hrs: 992mb SLP in SE. Missouri. Nice hit from C. Illinois down into E. Kansas. NAM is the outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Tulsa will do fine if the models have any clue. Mixing issues here.. PL looks to the winner here. however on the ice map tulsa gets nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Joplin gets easily 1.5 qpf on the EURO. Could be as high as 1.75 or even higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 This model has been dead on with banding in storms all winter for the East Coast...if its right here, OKC is getting pounded... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Joplin gets easily 1.5 qpf on the EURO. Could be as high as 1.75 or even higher. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 This model has been dead on with banding in storms all winter for the East Coast...if its right here, OKC is getting pounded... and tulsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 No problem, you look to be in the 1.5-1.75 range while areas about 20 miles north and then go NE from there are in the 1.75-2.0 range, while NE MO is in the 2-2.5 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 and tulsa. Unlike 12/24/09 when Tulsa sort of got short ended as did Ponca City and Wichita, this time I think since the storm exhibits more SSW-NNE movement as opposed to WSW-ENE I think all areas outside of NW OK will see the bigger snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Here's the Euro QPF amounts: JLN: 1.72" TUL: 1.73" OKC: 1.10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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