brooklynwx99
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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this retrograding and decaying Scandi block along with the elongated TPV is often a precursor to some of our larger storms, historically. there are risks before this occurs, mainly around the 8th and 12th, but there's certainly a window for a more prototypical coastal storm between the 18-23rd
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this is also just ridiculous
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nothing is ever permanent in weather. always roll my eyes when i see stuff like that
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the 6th and 8th look like potential front end thumps. i doubt they’re all snow or anything like that but some here sneezing at the potential for 2-4” to mix to rain is laughable given how lame the last few years have been after the 10th things really open up. it’s also, you know, snowing this evening
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love to see it
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along with tons of precip
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cold and active. love to see it
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semi permanent Nina base state
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yeah, the March 2018 comparisons are growing more and more legit. again, not quite as anomalous but the similarities are pretty glaring
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it's funny, March 2018 would have been hyperbolic but that's literally almost as anomalous and has the same general progression
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EPS has a 3 sigma block right over the pole. ridiculous
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absolutely obscene EPS run. 3 sigma block right over the pole
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absolutely absurd lmao
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yup, looks like the EPS now
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this is why I don't like using indices. when looking at the 500mb there's a pretty obvious -NAO on the GEFS
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nobody could have seen this coming!
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lol
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yeah the EPS is... favorable. lmao tons of blocking, well AN precip, and cold
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best EPS run i've seen since Feb 2021. ridiculous mean
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the pattern did occur. just benefited south of the Mason-Dixon line the most. it happens
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EPS has the retrograding block. 2 sigma ridge over the pole
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i mean, wow
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obviously not calling for anything that strong, but this does have similarities to March 2018. can't act like it doesn't. same -PNA to N ATL wavebreak that allows for a retrograde of the Scandi ridge into Greenland. combine that with a MJO pass through the Maritime Continent and a significant stratospheric disruption
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EPS is really ratcheting up the block in the LR. textbook progression
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there's so much going for the blocking that I kinda have to believe it. the progression makes perfect sense. similar to March 2018 with the -PNA, retrograding Scandi ridge, N Atl wavebreaking and a strat assist. obv not going to be quite as anomalous but there are similarities
