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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. you tell me. rotting west based -NAO, huge 50/50 signal, and vort digging through the Rockies
  2. i get your point, but could you imagine the weenies thrown if the ensembles showed the TPV west and a ridge popping over the east and someone posted a loop of the D12-15 OP showing a cold pattern? they would get clowned
  3. yeah, why use the ensembles when you can use a random OP run
  4. the -PNA is temporary. that trough in the west swings through and it's full steam ahead
  5. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  6. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  7. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  8. excuse me, you said that's a +NAO? in what world is this a +NAO
  9. the 10th percentile for NYC on the EPS is like 10”. anything but skewed high
  10. EPS has 24” mean snowfall for BOS
  11. this is with like 12-18” on the mean already btw
  12. and this is before this pattern sets up. absurd
  13. absolutely locked in on the GEPS and GEFS. rotting block in place over the Davis Strait and elongated TPV in SE Canada
  14. trying not to be hyperbolic but it's insane. how is the mean that lit up with the block not even having decayed yet? that's when you usually get the big dog
  15. just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow this is the pattern during that mean. the block is still strong over the Davis Strait. the largest storm from this pattern likely hasn't even occurred yet and NYC/BOS still have 18" on the mean. wild
  16. just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow this is the pattern during that snowfall mean. not after the block breaks down, which is when you'd probably get your largest storm. it's beyond lmao
  17. if this is "not bad" then expectations have gotten ever so slightly inflated
  18. GEPS is ridiculous. has 15" on the mean with this pattern still in place
  19. the shift in confluence is pretty notable. the evolution is much more similar to that of a Miller B than a SWFE at this point
  20. the CPC forecast is based on the GEFS, which looks the same. those indices aren't really that useful since they provide no context
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