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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. IMO this is more of a bottom-up event... the 50mb impacts on the stratosphere are more important for influencing the troposphere most of the time anyway, and a significant disruption is likely. the SPV stuff is only serving to bolster the tropospheric processes that will occur over the next two weeks
  2. the stratospheric impacts are likely going to lead to more stable blocking, IMO. it's all part of a bigger picture
  3. this retrograding and decaying Scandi block along with the elongated TPV is often a precursor to some of our larger storms, historically. there are risks before this occurs, mainly around the 8th and 12th, but there's certainly a window for a more prototypical coastal storm between the 18-23rd
  4. this retrograding and decaying Scandi block along with the elongated TPV is often a precursor to some of our larger storms, historically. there are risks before this occurs, mainly around the 8th and 12th, but there's certainly a window for a more prototypical coastal storm between the 18-23rd
  5. nothing is ever permanent in weather. always roll my eyes when i see stuff like that
  6. the 6th and 8th look like potential front end thumps. i doubt they’re all snow or anything like that but some here sneezing at the potential for 2-4” to mix to rain is laughable given how lame the last few years have been after the 10th things really open up. it’s also, you know, snowing this evening
  7. yeah, the March 2018 comparisons are growing more and more legit. again, not quite as anomalous but the similarities are pretty glaring
  8. it's funny, March 2018 would have been hyperbolic but that's literally almost as anomalous and has the same general progression
  9. EPS has a 3 sigma block right over the pole. ridiculous
  10. absolutely obscene EPS run. 3 sigma block right over the pole
  11. this is why I don't like using indices. when looking at the 500mb there's a pretty obvious -NAO on the GEFS
  12. yeah the EPS is... favorable. lmao tons of blocking, well AN precip, and cold
  13. best EPS run i've seen since Feb 2021. ridiculous mean
  14. the pattern did occur. just benefited south of the Mason-Dixon line the most. it happens
  15. EPS has the retrograding block. 2 sigma ridge over the pole
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