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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. liking the trend in the confluence for the 16th. in these patterns the quality of the threats increases as the block matures
  2. liking the trend in the confluence for the 16th. in these patterns the quality of the threats increases as the block matures
  3. lol this is much more fitting for the NYC subforum than the MA subforum where you often post
  4. I still think the greatest potential with this pattern exists around the 20th as the block fully retrogrades and weakens. just drool worthy synoptics with the TPV in SE Canada, west based -NAO ridging, and a vort showing up in the Rockies
  5. I still think the greatest potential with this pattern exists around the 20th as the block fully retrogrades and weakens. just drool worthy synoptics with the TPV in SE Canada, west based -NAO ridging, and a vort showing up in the Rockies
  6. I still think the greatest potential with this pattern exists around the 20th as the block fully retrogrades and weakens. just drool worthy synoptics with the TPV in SE Canada, west based -NAO ridging, and a vort showing up in the Rockies
  7. block is really doing its dirty work here. fits the pattern honestly
  8. the GEFS is a fancy OP 80% of the time so this is not surprising
  9. for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
  10. can't believe that we have three legit chances for snowfall before the most favorable part of the pattern even sets in. pretty nuts and I'm excited
  11. for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
  12. for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
  13. kinda wild that the rippage on the GFS is while the block is still maintaining strength. the big dog isn't even popping up yet
  14. luckily there is potential beforehand for snowfall. that's just when the pattern ends which is a ways away
  15. very good agreement on an anomalous, west-based -NAO, 50/50 ULL, and vort digging into the Rockies. if you're looking for a bigger storm, this is the timeframe to watch. makes sense, as retrograding Scandinavian blocks often lead to larger storms when they decay
  16. pretty stunning blocking signal around that time. vort digging into the Rockies, confluence in place, and a rotting west based block
  17. you tell me. rotting west based -NAO, huge 50/50 signal, and vort digging through the Rockies
  18. i get your point, but could you imagine the weenies thrown if the ensembles showed the TPV west and a ridge popping over the east and someone posted a loop of the D12-15 OP showing a cold pattern? they would get clowned
  19. yeah, why use the ensembles when you can use a random OP run
  20. the -PNA is temporary. that trough in the west swings through and it's full steam ahead
  21. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  22. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
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