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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. 12k NAM continues to look aggressive when it comes to snow TV/accumulating snow for favored spots... we trust those thermals, right?
  2. Still plenty of time for a shift, but 12z ENS want to send the NS wave to the north for now. Uh oh!
  3. 12z GFS is a little more interesting for Thanksgiving but verbatim it's close but no cigar. Worth tracking. White Turkey Day for PA/SNE
  4. they make me happy! and show the metric I'm interested in - which is more snow falling from the sky. my expectation remains 0.00" of stickage anywhere within 30 miles of DCA. Hope others feel similarly, would be foolish to expect more. Think you're good for 1" though
  5. The difference between the 3k NAM and the HRRR, the former of which shows some fairly scenic snow TV for all of Friday afternoon for most of the subforum, is largely the 925mb level. Also a slightly colder surface. The better runs of the globals/HRRR had the precip moving in earlier in the day. Now that it's later, the column isn't quite as snazzy, but 3k keeps it good everywhere but the surface. Others do not, but it's very close.
  6. GFS didn’t really shift south any but some of the heavier stuff is more spread over the MD/PA border and trails down into DC. Suggests 1” is achievable in PSU land with somewhat cooperative temps… snow TV should make it down to DC.
  7. Just for awareness, since it’s a new tool to track this year, the 18z AI EURO (the one on WxBell… there may very well be other offshoots) has a thump to rain event next Friday based on temps. Probably 2-3” before a decent hit of rain and then dryslot
  8. More or less did precip-wise. I think most of what falls is probably snow… only real issue seems to be the surface. Hoping for a snow TV-filled day, expecting 0.00” accumulation!
  9. 00z HRRR throws an aggressive snow shower right up I-66 tomorrow evening. Surely overdone, but maybe we can get a snow shower or two tomorrow evening?
  10. Thunder and lightning! They say that wintertime T&L proceeds snow [emoji6]
  11. Different evolution but GFS cooking up something for spots N of DC day before Thanksgiving… only 7 days!
  12. 12z NAM coming in snowier for northern/central MD. Gonna be a mini-NAMming
  13. This is such an unbelievably cool passion project! Thanks for all the resources!
  14. Could always rent out your house to a needy Internet stranger and pay it forward... you got good Wifi?
  15. 12Z EURO (which now kicks off around 12:10 instead of 12:45!) has a significant storm in the same timeframe. Not as friendly a look, but very trackable.
  16. Some aggressive early thread starts these days. I like it… change up the meta. Mix it up. Haven’t figured out our good luck charms this year.
  17. It actually mostly held. Crushed by November standards. Only nine days!
  18. Pretty good look for late November. Not sure the CAD will hold but it’ll trend better
  19. 12z GFS is interesting for Friday. Just need to get the precip cranking… temps are fine everywhere but the surface so it would fall as snow.
  20. Wish I could make it out this go but seems like to get the full event you’d have to leave tonight - showing up Friday afternoon might mean it’s all over. Don’t know about all of you, but Jebwalking in actively falling snow is the highlight. I’ll see if I can get some pity flakes on Friday!
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