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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. GFS and RGEM like it a lot. Not sure those are the two models I’d want on my side, though.
  2. Lot of variability in the 00z runs - hope western folks can score!
  3. GFS a little more aggressive. Tempting to drive west for a few hours just to see an inch or two since winter is over after this storm.
  4. Ooh, I know the answer to this Jeopardy question! What is “things never said before a DC snowstorm”?
  5. Psu is one of our best posters but man I feel like he needs to take the trolling here sometimes
  6. Clean almost WSW event Day 9. Everyone happy.
  7. This continues to trend snowier - check the 12z EURO. I doubt this can get interesting for the metro but could allow favored spots to pad stats.
  8. Long shot for sure but still eyeing 12/15-16 for our western zones. As has been pointed out there is a nice strong HP that is progged to run away, but several ens, especially the GEPS members (which I personally think are solid enough) keep it a little mixy/snowy for the I-81 corridor and west
  9. Where is the 2” of snow the GEFS promised me??
  10. I’m willing to buy that…. just amazing that the GEFS can’t handle this event and ones like it. I’d guess it’s a combination of its low-resolution and this just being a genuine area of weakness for it.
  11. What’s funny is that 95% of that snow is from tomorrow’s non-event.
  12. GEFS (and the GFS too) is such garbage in the short range, especially with the rain-to-snow. If half of us get 1” tomorrow, I’ll buy everyone here a drink.
  13. Anyone who falls the for the trap that it can snow in December in the lowlands anymore is stupid…
  14. I don’t think the multi-day overrunning phantom event in the LR has worked out once in the past decade. We’re due?
  15. They’ve been ticking up for the past 24 hours. They always overestimate these kind of events though. looking back at the runs I screenshotted from last year this looks a ton like the Dec. 11, 2023 storm @Ji. Would be uncanny to run it back literally exactly a year later.
  16. yeah good recall - checked my photos and exactly Dec. 11 we had a rain/snow situation. Good couple hours of snow with road caves even in Arlington… think I managed to sneak an inch.
  17. It’s the snowiest of the rain to snow runs by far. This thing still has a chance IMO… Rare for these to work out, but not a lot of other game in town.
  18. Here is the 46-day… has another 6-8”er in there.
  19. Yeah, it’s a couple separate 8” storms. One around the 21st, one around January 7th, and then a 1-2” follow up close after the Jan 7th one. The Jan 7th one is the coastal/SNE mauler.
  20. Would be nice if we could continue tracking through Christmas after our almost guaranteed fail next week. I’m heading on a family (not my ideal date timeline) vacation for the 2nd week of January, so need to score before then. Last time I went on vacation was the Jan 3/4th 2022 snowstorm… still annnoyed about that one.
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