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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    You can see where the EURO puts the squalls/showers. Unfortunately it’s around 4pm as opposed to 7pm, so verbatim more rainy near DC.
  2. NorthArlington101
    GFS is working on our HECS for the 16th it just can’t quite put it together.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Players are all on the board now so I’m a sense it’s basically here. It’s all pre-determined anyway… everything we do here is meaningless
  4. NorthArlington101
    The GEFS run this morning was the only bad news I really saw - and the good news is the GEFS sucks. Folks should always prep themselves for the real chance you could see a north shift over the next 84 hours, but hard not to love where things stand.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Unbelievable this is still 4 days away
  6. NorthArlington101
    Good luck ya’ll - not gonna contribute much to this thread since I’ll be in Margaritaville. Leave some snow for when I get back, please.
  7. NorthArlington101
  8. NorthArlington101
    It is a little more south. Bleeding stopped. Good run.
  9. NorthArlington101
    It is north but looking at the site that gets the data early it looked like it worked out. Could be a p-type error, though.
  10. NorthArlington101
    CMC looks good on the early maps, but a bit norther-er. Crew that lost snow on the 00z GFS won’t be happy.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Around the equator and back probably
  12. NorthArlington101
  13. NorthArlington101
    I thought you said you didn’t want it to jump north
  14. NorthArlington101
    GFS fairly consistent with where the globals/some of the HI-RES are placing the best squall.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Rumor is the snowstorm is trending south and following me to Puerto Rico. If you get your own flights, I’ll take $100 from anyone who wants to crash in my AirBnB. Apparently the power is back online
  16. NorthArlington101
    True. Big problem here too is a “4 hour earlier trend.” This coming through at 3pm vs 7pm matters near the metro, annoyingly
  17. NorthArlington101
    Don’t give up
  18. NorthArlington101
    uh oh… I’ve let in the NYC subforum.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Some of us are mature enough to handle it! one of my favorite things to do to measure how screwed we are is check the other sub forums. They lack our biases
  20. NorthArlington101
    I posted the sounding earlier… I think it’s really all sleet despite what this says, but who am I to question WxBell. It also dumps almost all of this in 3 hours. Don’t think it would accrete as much as help glaciate anything.
  21. NorthArlington101
    hate to see @brooklynwx99 posting in the NYC forum. That’s when you start to worry
  22. NorthArlington101
    It's wetter/better for everyone D.C. N, but you don't have to squint your eyes to see a north bump from 12z -> 18z in this larger trend gif.
  23. NorthArlington101
  24. NorthArlington101
    I think it's sleet, not FRZA, despite the maps depiction - apologizes if I'm somehow getting this sounding wrong. DCA never goes below freezing. Problems emerge around 4am and hold til 1pm.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Sorry Mappy… you saw the 18z EURO. Time to close it up and turn on the old thread.
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