NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Might be a snowflake or two within the rain but it’s pretty clearly mostly rain. Bummer.
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Rain.
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Also - it's not for us, but I'm re-learning that the NAM is goddawful, or gonna score the coup of it's life. It tries to blow this storm up for LI/SNE in the next few hours, a general 4-6"+. No other model has anything like that.
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Small snowflakes coming down at a decent clip is the report I'm getting back from Arlington (360'). Curious if it'll be rain by the time it makes it to Downtown D.C.
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Unrelated, but I’m not giving up on a Christmas Eve/Day miracle. Most of the OPs have something wintry in the area. I guess I’d take a glaze of ice… something to spice it up.
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Did you mislead your followers Jay?
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HRRR is some decent snow tv for a few hours. Would be nice
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pass. want the progression to be delayed 1 week. If the one time it snows this winter is while I'm on vacation I'm gonna have to move to buffalo for the month of February and pray for lake effect
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Those are finicky features. Just need a butterfly to flap its wings wrong and maybe we can get that over our backyards
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EURO AI looks like ICON... just too warm to snow during the day outside our favorite spots even with temps being BN
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ICON not going without a fight, but looks like a modest step back from 12z. 18z ENS held steady with 12z ENS. Only cooperative for accumulation for favored spots. Poor timing with this during daylight hours.
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Nah, I've got a goldfish memory. You could tell me anything. Feel like a BN December is out of the ordinary lately.
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I guess it's nice to know it can still be cold... but so annoying we can't get things to line up.
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I get it - I guess it’s just a preference of what kind of discussion we want in those rooms, which we don’t need to rehash. I like endlessly talking about threats with a 10% chance to work out since I find that fun, while you are more in long-range unless we’ve got something real, which we increasingly don’t lol. And the long-range is doom.
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just in time for my Jan 7-14 vacay. Last time I was there was the Jan 3, 2022 storm. Book it
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Dang, new ENS suite to bug the people with Pivotal subscriptions to check? Crazy. Also just realized that the ICON has an ens suite on Pivotal. It does support it's OP, btw.
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12z ICON holds steady, if not a little improved, for snow Friday. Temp issues in the beltway, though.
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Guessing people won’t be shocked to learn the 12z EPS was a step back - lost a lot of the interested members.
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It’s supposed to be “better” - especially at the surface. https://www.ecmwf.int/en/newsletter/178/news/aifs-new-ecmwf-forecasting-system
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There are some Miller B SECS-y looks that would make us mad, but definitely a vast improvement from the ens runs I’d been checking yesterday. More of a shot at something legitimate than it seems.
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12/15 Possible I81 event. First inch of the season out here?
NorthArlington101 replied to clskinsfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
this wasn’t a totally out of left field boom situation for those who were watching the model runs.. kind of a compromise between some of the more aggressive guidance and the stuff that kept this solely on the mountaintops. I get why the NWS would hedge low but this isn’t shocking, imo, as someone who has been watching this for 6 days -
12/15 Possible I81 event. First inch of the season out here?
NorthArlington101 replied to clskinsfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
40 and drizzle. -
12/15 Possible I81 event. First inch of the season out here?
NorthArlington101 replied to clskinsfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Pictures, folks. Some of us live in an urban hellscape! -
12z GFS dusts us on Friday - only 5 days out!
