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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Yeah just like that ICON is south - though still a good hit for everyone except those on our far northern fringes. Ratios probably get this to warning-level snow for nearly everyone.
  2. Agree - the models are bringing this disturbance through as snow showers and squalls. Hopefully widespread. RGEM shows maybe a best-case scenario.
  3. This lost a little steam overnight. Let’s see if we can regain our .5” means today. Just want a real snow shower.
  4. To be clear, 2/3 runs does not a trend make, but these are the "shifts" from 00z to 06z I noticed flipping through my phone this morning. North is the thing I'd be sweating still if I had more skin in the game, just because that's because we've been burned that way previously. Probably irrational lol but fears are learned through experience. These do also show a general ramping up of higher snowfall odds in general... take that to the bank folks!
  5. I don’t disagree - in general love the spot folks are in. And definitely taking @Bob Chill’s last few messages into account that it might be worth worrying more about a south shift. Just doing worst-case scenario thinking. Would love 5-10” of snow cover when I get back!
  6. Yeah - this is what I’m tracking today. Unlike what @Ji said yesterday, storms come back from the south. When things go north, it’s harder. We got lucky twice last year, though.
  7. Modern art, splotchy, avant-garde snow maps are so in in 2025
  8. You’re so good man - no worries. Prob gonna bounce between suppressed and too far north another 3 times. Can’t believe this is still 5-6 days out. Exhausting.
  9. When I see your posts I have to remember you live in PA now
  10. Early trends are a little slower and less confluence, giving us better spacing but also allowing this to maybe sneak to the north more. Pros and cons. However, since the storm keeps getting pushed back… even more runs to the final outcome!
  11. I’ll deb. Just seeing where the snow has fallen leading up to this storm… this isn’t traditionally a winner. We were lucky to get the WAA this run + some modest coastal development. Surprised people are so enthused. In the game, yes. But I’d’ve preferred holding south. YMMV
  12. This thing isn’t even close to the region at 4:00am Monday. Really pushing back the timeline
  13. Definitely norther at 117. Almost UKIE-like… not an official prediction
  14. If this storm keeps getting pushed back a day I might get back from my vacay in time
  15. I checked the median and >3” & >6” percentage maps ready to deb but it’s a slightly better run across the board. Not an obvious south or dry shift.
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