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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Since the CMC was sneaky good for 1/3-4 I made a separate thread. It's been trending the right way, much to people's possible annoyance for our 1/6-7 storm.
  2. NorthArlington101
    I was as well - just barely pulls something out. Subtracting what falls this Fri/Sat...
  3. NorthArlington101
    You know what, F&#% it. This could be our best shot at snow over the next two weeks for all we know. Make a thread or die trying - this is out of the M/LR anyway. CMC, GFS, and ICON going the right way at 00z. Ens slowly but steadily been trending better on all suites. 00z CMC has been the best run in a while so it will kick us off. Good luck! @mods - feel free to rename to whatever feels appropriate.
  4. NorthArlington101
    it gets shredded, unfortunately.
  5. NorthArlington101
    main MSLP also really is down in Alabama/Mississippi -- would be one thing if it could turn up the coast... need a cuttier-but-also-suppressed storm. A little too thread the needle for how we often win
  6. NorthArlington101
    I think this shears out again but maybe a baby step
  7. NorthArlington101
    did someone say the Jan 4 storm is back?
  8. NorthArlington101
    sorry!
  9. NorthArlington101
    We’ve got literally nothing else to look at or do. We’re sickos. Heck, @clskinsfanjust admitted he checked out the 48th hour of the 00z HRRR just for kicks for flurries nobody is even tracking. If we didn’t check the models and post them every 6 hours we’d have nothing to talk about. All that would be left is sports banter and beer pictures. Maybe that would be better…
  10. NorthArlington101
    It’s closer on Jan. 8 though, at least. Some solace for a weary group.
  11. NorthArlington101
  12. NorthArlington101
    I like to redirect people to the article published by the ECMWF - I'm sure there is also more in-depth literature published somewhere for the real nerds.
  13. NorthArlington101
    AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north.
  14. NorthArlington101
    I think we say this every year and never do but we really should consider taking the CMC just as seriously as the GFS if not more
  15. NorthArlington101
    This is true - but will warn that the EPS is increasingly looking the same way. Week(s) to go - but be aware!
  16. NorthArlington101
    Everything else on the run is suppressed to oblivion.
  17. NorthArlington101
    EURO is a solid WSW level-hit for Jan. 6 - maps incoming.
  18. NorthArlington101
    modest, emphasis on modest, improvement on 12z EURO. Dusting for SE MD and the Tidewater.
  19. NorthArlington101
    EURO is crawling this morning. Must be loading the double HECS
  20. NorthArlington101
    We'll see what the EURO/EPS does... I've liked what we've done this year and made threads about 2 days out for the dusting-2" events. If discussion gets too clogged between our shots on the 4th/6th/10th(?) it makes sense.
  21. NorthArlington101
    Speaking of not giving up until the shorter-range, I'll keep beating the Jan. 4 drum. ICON ens (as I understand it, a fork of the EPS) took about a ~200m jump to the NE. Still got 5 days.
  22. NorthArlington101
    historically things go well when I'm gone so you want me gone. When I was a student at UVA and tried to guess whether Cville or Arlington would do better, I always got it wrong. Think I'm stuck in the DC area for several years but you should all be crowdfunding my exit
  23. NorthArlington101
    06z AIFS is a 1-2" baby thump followed by rain/sleet for the 6th. No follow up storms after that.
  24. NorthArlington101
    was gonna fly out Tuesday - now looking at flying out Sunday to maybe dodge this mess lol. I'm a mess and this storm is equally a mess.
  25. NorthArlington101
    light snow at 7:00am Monday, but think sleet is quickly on the doorstep
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