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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    historically things go well when I'm gone so you want me gone. When I was a student at UVA and tried to guess whether Cville or Arlington would do better, I always got it wrong. Think I'm stuck in the DC area for several years but you should all be crowdfunding my exit
  2. NorthArlington101
    06z AIFS is a 1-2" baby thump followed by rain/sleet for the 6th. No follow up storms after that.
  3. NorthArlington101
    was gonna fly out Tuesday - now looking at flying out Sunday to maybe dodge this mess lol. I'm a mess and this storm is equally a mess.
  4. NorthArlington101
    light snow at 7:00am Monday, but think sleet is quickly on the doorstep
  5. NorthArlington101
    It's a little closer on Jan. 4. Still have time to trend that into a light event, at least for the beaches.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Family is now threatening to fly out for our vacation on Sunday instead of Tuesday. May have to stand my ground lol if the 5th/6th window works out
  7. NorthArlington101
    06z GFS for 1/10-1/11
  8. NorthArlington101
    I feel like this post should be memorialized somewhere
  9. NorthArlington101
    Front end thump is solid enough, but the northern parts of the forum last longer AND get hit by the CCB. Just need it a few hairs more south. Lots of time
  10. NorthArlington101
    I think it’s unlikely the follow up storm ends up anything but suppressed this run. Join me on the Jan. 5-6 dark side. It’s fun for everyone!
  11. NorthArlington101
    Will’s map doesn’t tell the full story - goes HECS N MD and north. Close to a banger for everyone.
  12. NorthArlington101
    00z EURO is a very solid hit on the 6th… maps coming.
  13. NorthArlington101
    I'm just looking at 24hr snow means/medians but thought the 6th was neutral and ya'll improved for the 8th.
  14. NorthArlington101
    it's very good - honestly. It's no babygirl, though.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Gets a little suppressed and can’t quite finish the pummeling. But better!
  16. NorthArlington101
    retroactive
  17. NorthArlington101
    Was gonna say it’s snowier on the wxbell maps
  18. NorthArlington101
    GFS looking real good for the 6th. Almost sent a Jaws but worried it could fizzle/suppress
  19. NorthArlington101
    I think it will work, that’s why I’m so grumpy! I don’t need to go into the theoretical discussion over the benefits of mean vs. median again, the median is fairly strong too — around 3” for the whole period. I was excited to see the Jan 6. event appear on the 24hr median - first time the EPS has had something like this at range all year. It’s quite modest, as any 24hr median will be at range, but I view median as “this is the bar.” My bar for Jan. 6 is increasingly that winter weather will happen.
  20. NorthArlington101
    EPS really quite surprised for the 8th-10th shot. Won’t speak to the H5 but it’s a notable step back from 00z. Maybe a hair better for the 5th-6th
  21. NorthArlington101
    GEFS looks better for the 7th-8th then precious runs, btw. I’d still be worrying about suppression but the signal is much better.
  22. NorthArlington101
    pretty much - i think it's gonna suppress the 9th/10th into the GoM. Isn't even that cold locally either, dc gets to 32 some of the days
  23. NorthArlington101
    GEPS still like Jan 3-4 a bit. Still 140 hours out somehow
  24. NorthArlington101
    EURO suppresses the Jan 5-6 storm.
  25. NorthArlington101
    idk - this looks like a nice spot to be in. Need a little colder
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