NorthArlington101

I look at Zillow every day out there... much cheaper than buying a house out here around D.C.. Idk if I want to ruin any first-time homebuyer credit on that endeavor, though

the power is back on! for now...

ya know what we say, "our best events are when LWX is playing catchup..." it is funny that perhaps the best meteorological agency in the world comes in and says something totally reasonable and we say "meh" lol. I honestly read that as very much in line with the 6" NBM... just probably not gonna hit 10"+.

It would be an ugly a$$ chase but I'd run down a Snow Squall Warning (safely) if I could. That's kinda unique. Speaking of another event I missed, I was out of town for the 2014 Super Squall

I'm probably not gonna do it but I'm debating chasing this lol. I still haven't seen "snow" this year. Seen a couple snow flakes. Wish the timing would slow down a bit.

Correct - it’ll be 3 years out in May. So it’s a product of COVID, really. We mirror our client, went from full remote, to 2-day, to “3”-day hybrid. Dunno what the next years will bring.

My entire professional career has been hybrid... feel like the rug is gonna get pulled out from me soon, though (government-adjacent work)

where were you when Giants legend Danny Dimes took the Vikings out of the playoffs?

Honestly you can't go wrong anywhere near/along the National Mall. I'd get off at the Smithsonian stuff and just walk around. Tidal basin if you want water in your photos, Lincoln/Washington/Capitol Building if you want something imposing. Some of the gardens/sneakier spots near the Capitol would be cool to photograph. Some more subtle monuments and views you'd see just circling the building.

You'll get your WSW-criteria snowfall on Monday and you'll like it!

yes!! Come get some snowy pictures of the Capitol. I've been waiting for 2 years. Only place more beautiful than UVA in the snow might be DC.

A couple smart degreed mets I'm in chats with are throwing out a yellow flag that the AI modeling is lighter on precip than the globals... their take on the AI is that they are essentially really fancy analogs, since they work by referencing the dataset of previous storms and then guessing the outcome from there. Food for thought, I guess, don't mean to deb.

DCA was really unimpressive during last years' 3-5"ers. I think folks will have trouble coming in and out of DCA on Monday and Tuesday... with the way plane delays and cancellations roll over it could be tricky. I got my family to push our flight out of DCA from Tuesday morning -> Sunday morning instead, as much as it pained the weenie in me. The good news about DCA (or IAD, if that's your destination) is that the metro hooks right up to the airports. It operates close to normal in up to 4-6", and they'll be clearing it throughout the day. If you land, you can get to downtown proper and hopefully close to your hotel.

Not to shill for DCA - but they were on point during the storms last year. No suspicious activity. They even recorded .1" this year during that morning sleet a week or two ago. Think they've found a generous slant-sticker to conduct the measurements.

Idk if it went norther as much as it got drier/mixy/rainer souther. Think the dry slot is becoming better modeled

Cranks from 4-10am. Expecting someone to post some epic night Jebwalk pics.

Gosh that GFS run was on fire at the end. Gonna be fun times after a break following Monday’s MECS.

You can see where the EURO puts the squalls/showers. Unfortunately it’s around 4pm as opposed to 7pm, so verbatim more rainy near DC.

GFS is working on our HECS for the 16th it just can’t quite put it together.

Players are all on the board now so I’m a sense it’s basically here. It’s all pre-determined anyway… everything we do here is meaningless

The GEFS run this morning was the only bad news I really saw - and the good news is the GEFS sucks. Folks should always prep themselves for the real chance you could see a north shift over the next 84 hours, but hard not to love where things stand.

Unbelievable this is still 4 days away

Good luck ya’ll - not gonna contribute much to this thread since I’ll be in Margaritaville. Leave some snow for when I get back, please.