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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
  2. NorthArlington101
    WxBell's p-type guesser says DCA has flipped by 75 - but worth digging into the soundings.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Not sure the EPS is any more dispersive from its parent than the GEFS, especially at this range.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Never really thought this one was gonna result in accumulations, would just like my snow shower to be a snow shower and not a rain shower. Tough ask in Downtown DC
  5. NorthArlington101
    The January storms shifted south the whole way; they were Philly storms only 48-72 hours before Dec. 2018 actually shifted notably north in even the last 12-24 hours, which is typical and why I wouldn’t mind this south shift personally
  6. NorthArlington101
    Snow showers still should come through the metros from 4-6… think this is just a now cast situation that doesn’t benefit from much model watching
  7. NorthArlington101
    Never would’ve bet for a second when I woke up that this shifted south. Much better than a 150mi north shift, unless like last year south is the trend that never stops stopping
  8. NorthArlington101
    Good to hear from you again, even if it’s not amazing news! Always appreciate your constitutions
  9. NorthArlington101
    UKIE is much faster than the other guidance tonight, which I guess helps that happen. Not gonna bother puzzling out exactly why that happened since it won’t be the outcome
  10. NorthArlington101
    Too tired to grab the maps, but GEFS with a mild shift north. Makes sense that it follows the OP.
  11. NorthArlington101
    I’m not saying we shouldn’t be looking but I love how we toss the GFS at 80 hours yet are glued to it for a storm at 200hrs
  12. NorthArlington101
    It’s a beaut. Not a threat of mixing in sight
  13. NorthArlington101
    CMC is slower but still looks like a good thump incoming at 7am Monday. Deeper cad - looks better
  14. NorthArlington101
    @brooklynwx99 you don’t need to do this to us!
  15. NorthArlington101
    99% over here - trying to cut out tomorrow’s “event”… this timeframe cuts a little snow off the southern end
  16. NorthArlington101
    I’m starting to think we don’t want this. Seems to result in a slower storm and a stauncher warm nose. I could also very well be connecting the dots on something that isn’t a connect the dots puzzle. makes it more miller B coastal transfer screwjob
  17. NorthArlington101
    can see it both ways. Shows a sharp southern cutoff. Also shows an absolutely juiced WAA thump. Choose your own adventure
  18. NorthArlington101
    I very rarely regret not getting my met degree, but it would be nice to just pop in this forum and lay down the hammer.
  19. NorthArlington101
    84hr NAM has a wrong bias
  20. NorthArlington101
  21. NorthArlington101
    Weren't you saying my snow squalls tomorrow were the best storm we'd see all week not 3 hours ago?
  22. NorthArlington101
    We’re the worst here lol. 98% of people would beg to go to Aruba during a blizzard
  23. NorthArlington101
    Sweet 18z EURO run. Rakeage between midnight-6am… will reward the sleep deprived.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Now that’s the ticket
  25. NorthArlington101
    Oh I’m dropping pictures of margaritas on a white sand beach in the Jan 6 obs thread til I get banned if I somehow don’t get banned I’ll post mojitos in the Jan 11 obs thread
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