NorthArlington101
-
Posts
10,947 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by NorthArlington101
-
Okay… starting to get antsy about this vacation again. Considering if I can make it out of town Tuesday. Probably not, unfortunately. Grrrrr
-
WxBell flips DCA at 7am and doesn’t have it coming back to “pure” snow til at least after 4pm… verbatim on the ptype maps. im actually in the office today so cant check the soundings to see if its legit
-
I think when it’s showing something in the range of reasonable guidance you can look at it. RGEM and it’d HRDPS cousin do have a documented cold/wet (overdoing banding) bias, though.
-
You can call it a trend at this point, but works for lots of folks here.
-
-
WxBell's p-type guesser says DCA has flipped by 75 - but worth digging into the soundings.
-
Not sure the EPS is any more dispersive from its parent than the GEFS, especially at this range.
-
Never really thought this one was gonna result in accumulations, would just like my snow shower to be a snow shower and not a rain shower. Tough ask in Downtown DC
-
The January storms shifted south the whole way; they were Philly storms only 48-72 hours before Dec. 2018 actually shifted notably north in even the last 12-24 hours, which is typical and why I wouldn’t mind this south shift personally
-
Snow showers still should come through the metros from 4-6… think this is just a now cast situation that doesn’t benefit from much model watching
-
Never would’ve bet for a second when I woke up that this shifted south. Much better than a 150mi north shift, unless like last year south is the trend that never stops stopping
-
Good to hear from you again, even if it’s not amazing news! Always appreciate your constitutions
-
UKIE is much faster than the other guidance tonight, which I guess helps that happen. Not gonna bother puzzling out exactly why that happened since it won’t be the outcome
-
Too tired to grab the maps, but GEFS with a mild shift north. Makes sense that it follows the OP.
-
January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
NorthArlington101 replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’m not saying we shouldn’t be looking but I love how we toss the GFS at 80 hours yet are glued to it for a storm at 200hrs -
It’s a beaut. Not a threat of mixing in sight
-
CMC is slower but still looks like a good thump incoming at 7am Monday. Deeper cad - looks better
-
@brooklynwx99 you don’t need to do this to us!
-
99% over here - trying to cut out tomorrow’s “event”… this timeframe cuts a little snow off the southern end
-
I’m starting to think we don’t want this. Seems to result in a slower storm and a stauncher warm nose. I could also very well be connecting the dots on something that isn’t a connect the dots puzzle. makes it more miller B coastal transfer screwjob
-
can see it both ways. Shows a sharp southern cutoff. Also shows an absolutely juiced WAA thump. Choose your own adventure
-
I very rarely regret not getting my met degree, but it would be nice to just pop in this forum and lay down the hammer.
-
84hr NAM has a wrong bias
-
-
Weren't you saying my snow squalls tomorrow were the best storm we'd see all week not 3 hours ago?
