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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Few flakes flying in Arlington.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Anything under those Purcellville returns? Looks semi-legit on radar.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Well, we’re so cold we somehow pull a little snow out of that ugly evolution, so that’s nice.
  4. NorthArlington101
    So annoying. Wonder if the iOS update broke something with Tapatalk. Warning to others - think it had to do with me typing in numbers. back on topic now - apologies all!
  5. NorthArlington101
  6. NorthArlington101
    Favorite part of that run - temps are mid to low 20s. Cold smoke.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Solid 5-8” through 1am
  8. NorthArlington101
    Mod snow everywhere at 192 Is this the first LR threat we’ve had sustain for two runs in a row? We back?
  9. NorthArlington101
    Was gonna ask if you if you traveled up there - sounds like not! Very frustrating. Would drive me mad as a chaser… drive up 6 hours, get a hotel, only to be off by 5 miles and 50 inches.
  10. NorthArlington101
    GEFS extended control had a… fun outcome for next weekend last night.
  11. NorthArlington101
    18z GFS more or less holds for two snow showers Sunday for parts of our area - a light one Sunday morning, and a heavier one Sunday night. It's the only model really showing anything that might allow anyone to nickel and dime, but beggars can't be choosers.
  12. NorthArlington101
    also has a squall/snow shower come through later in the evening, leaving us with honestly a moderately interesting snow map. Thread???
  13. NorthArlington101
    can move this to the short-range thread after this cycle, but GFS has the snow showers push through around 2am-5am, so maximizing any stickage. Temps are good enough - could dust everywhere but downtown proper.
  14. NorthArlington101
    made modest tweaks upwards based on good vibes - will probably regret it!
  15. NorthArlington101
    Only checked after I posted - but the 12k NAM, FV3, and RGEM are all "in" for some snow showers. RGEM illustrates a strip that might get dusted. Most of the interested models push something W-E right across the area.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Since I tend to just focus on the next possible chance even if the odds are bad... I've still got a slight amount of interest in snow showers/mood flakes on Sunday. This isn't the kind of event where I'd expect the ENS to succeed, but the 06z EPS ens have a handful of festive members.
  17. NorthArlington101
    GFS with a wicked storm on the 7th-8th. Nasty snow thump to mixy ice to mostly a dryslot.
  18. NorthArlington101
    Are we punting December in November?
  19. NorthArlington101
    Looks like a good weekend for lake effect snow. Wish it wasn’t also Thanksgiving weekend - would be a solid chase opportunity.
  20. NorthArlington101
    All the ens are pretty much snoozers for the next 10 days. Enjoy the cold!
  21. NorthArlington101
    Thanks for the clarification. What I think I was trying to say, and still happy to be corrected on, was that this seems like a good spot for the pass, at least based off my memory. Definitely need stronger.
  22. NorthArlington101
    00z GFS joins its ensembles in trying to get a coastal going Sunday, fails to get anything notable going but nice to see the OP hop on with the general idea. It looks like a pretty ideal vort pass. Just need more juice.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Couple notable coastals, handful of members with storms in the “right where we want ‘em” range. More members than not still drawing blanks though.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Feels like something that’ll juice up in the short-range or not at all. Long as the ghost of the wave is still a thing I’m okay with where we stand to get some flakes in the air.
  25. NorthArlington101
    11/22 - T
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