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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    There are some Miller B SECS-y looks that would make us mad, but definitely a vast improvement from the ens runs I’d been checking yesterday. More of a shot at something legitimate than it seems.
  2. NorthArlington101
    this wasn’t a totally out of left field boom situation for those who were watching the model runs.. kind of a compromise between some of the more aggressive guidance and the stuff that kept this solely on the mountaintops. I get why the NWS would hedge low but this isn’t shocking, imo, as someone who has been watching this for 6 days
  3. NorthArlington101
    40 and drizzle.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Pictures, folks. Some of us live in an urban hellscape!
  5. NorthArlington101
    12z GFS dusts us on Friday - only 5 days out!
  6. NorthArlington101
    GFS and RGEM like it a lot. Not sure those are the two models I’d want on my side, though.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Lot of variability in the 00z runs - hope western folks can score!
  8. NorthArlington101
    Winter is saved!
  9. NorthArlington101
    GFS a little more aggressive. Tempting to drive west for a few hours just to see an inch or two since winter is over after this storm.
  10. NorthArlington101
    See you tomorrow at 12z!
  11. NorthArlington101
    Ooh, I know the answer to this Jeopardy question! What is “things never said before a DC snowstorm”?
  12. NorthArlington101
    Psu is one of our best posters but man I feel like he needs to take the trolling here sometimes
  13. NorthArlington101
    Clean almost WSW event Day 9. Everyone happy.
  14. NorthArlington101
    This continues to trend snowier - check the 12z EURO. I doubt this can get interesting for the metro but could allow favored spots to pad stats.
  15. NorthArlington101
  16. NorthArlington101
    Long shot for sure but still eyeing 12/15-16 for our western zones. As has been pointed out there is a nice strong HP that is progged to run away, but several ens, especially the GEPS members (which I personally think are solid enough) keep it a little mixy/snowy for the I-81 corridor and west
  17. NorthArlington101
    Where is the 2” of snow the GEFS promised me??
  18. NorthArlington101
    I’m willing to buy that…. just amazing that the GEFS can’t handle this event and ones like it. I’d guess it’s a combination of its low-resolution and this just being a genuine area of weakness for it.
  19. NorthArlington101
    What’s funny is that 95% of that snow is from tomorrow’s non-event.
  20. NorthArlington101
    GEFS (and the GFS too) is such garbage in the short range, especially with the rain-to-snow. If half of us get 1” tomorrow, I’ll buy everyone here a drink.
  21. NorthArlington101
    Anyone who falls the for the trap that it can snow in December in the lowlands anymore is stupid…
  22. NorthArlington101
    I don’t think the multi-day overrunning phantom event in the LR has worked out once in the past decade. We’re due?
  23. NorthArlington101
  24. NorthArlington101
    They’ve been ticking up for the past 24 hours. They always overestimate these kind of events though. looking back at the runs I screenshotted from last year this looks a ton like the Dec. 11, 2023 storm @Ji. Would be uncanny to run it back literally exactly a year later.
  25. NorthArlington101
    yeah good recall - checked my photos and exactly Dec. 11 we had a rain/snow situation. Good couple hours of snow with road caves even in Arlington… think I managed to sneak an inch.
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