NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Filthy 7-day means on the extended ens.
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Another model cycle, another run where the GFS isn’t caving off a wintry Wednesday…
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NAMs have some light ice tonight actually for the northern folks.
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Not to nearly the same extent but 00z EURO for awareness
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Gonna be getting no sleep in about a week if this holds
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true - forgot it was sorta on this one too. yeah - sizable jump. Interesting
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GFS not caving... about 4 days out. Good old fashioned GFS (/sorta ICON) v. the world.
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It’s a nutty run. Like 3 back to back hits. Still a little Wednesday too.
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Dumb question but I can’t find those maps on the winter site anymore - you got a link?
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GFS remains insistent on ice Wednesday/Thursday.
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EURO was good last night for threat after threat… kept us in the game over and over. Could obviously go 0/5, but at least we keep swinging
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Kinda falls apart - but that’s the timeframe the EPS likes a lot. Hoping we are entering an active tracking period, at least
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CAD holds through 120 - nice ice storm on the back of the sleet/snow.
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Idk maybe it’s out to lunch but it is actually cold at the surface and ICON/Euro made moves to it. Hmm.
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Step in the right direction but GFS remains alone as genuinely impactful… it’s now a nice snow event for NMD, sleet for DC/NOVA, and ice further south.
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Our best posters have been saying forever our best window for the rest of winter is Feb. 15 - Mar. 15, so anyone canceling winter was silly. After Feb. 8th or so has looked really active on the ens for a bit - so I’m interested starting then. I can’t really buy the GFS’s output for Wednesday yet, but I’m hankering for something to track. Need a good distraction right now.
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Yeah, it hits us good. little bit of front end Wednesday, nice 3-6”+ day 10, 4-8”+ day 15
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You probably have to assume it’s wrong, but 6z GFS is still super wintry on Wednesday, even if it isn’t snow. 6z EURO was a slight cave towards it and threatens some light icing in favored spots.
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barring getting lucky with some sleet/ice on the 5th/6th seems clear we’ll still be snoozing for a while… but do love seeing the EPS keep lighting up at range.
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This is also all wintry precip of some kind for most of us on the AI Euro for the 5th/6th - looks like mostly sleet or ice, but some snow at the start if the shoddy temp maps we’ve got are right. Eventually flips to rain.
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The Feb. 5 threat is sneaking into the medium range now… GFS is at least wintry with sleet/ice for many of us.
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Awful, awful stuff. Been hearing the sirens for hours.
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Hearing the sirens of everything in the area presumably heading that way… hearing it’s a 60-80 person regional jet. Could be bad, unfortunately. Too many things in the air around here.
