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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Bullish. Hope you are right - though not sure I want to know how much of what you are spitting out is snow vs. sleet! I’ll pretend it’s all snow.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Becoming fairly clear that if you want to see it snow for a decent bit of time, you better wake up by 5am at latest.
  3. NorthArlington101
    I’m unfortunately running with the fact that the NAM is gonna win the changeover battle. Happens too often. Couple factors here could suggest it’s too aggressive but I think you have to give it the edge. At that point, you just gotta root to get pummeled as much as possible from midnight-8am. That’s all I’m checking for.
  4. NorthArlington101
    EURO and CMC don’t do it. See if it’s an off run. Plenty of time
  5. NorthArlington101
    AIFS likes Feb. 6. Not too far away for Feb. 1/2 either, but miss verbatim.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Yeah lowkey folded to the GFS. Just want the NAM on board
  7. NorthArlington101
  8. NorthArlington101
    I think it struggles to mix out the sleet…. But more wintry precip all the same
  9. NorthArlington101
    AIFS (probably out of its best range) got a bit wetter.
  10. NorthArlington101
    Would be a kick in the nards even though it’s all gonna freeze back over rapidly
  11. NorthArlington101
  12. NorthArlington101
    Piece over the GL is pretty different. Might be mucking it up Snows a lil bit from that alone. Emphasis on little
  13. NorthArlington101
    WxBell at 180 - I’m not smart enough for 500mb but it’s burying it in the gulf so don’t think the ICON wants in this go.
  14. NorthArlington101
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  16. NorthArlington101
    Even the Spire wanted to party somehow ended up owning like $20 of spire stock and it’s been doing well. Can’t be because of the weather model.
  17. NorthArlington101
    It might flip DC an hour later. Every little bit counts since euro refuses to sleet I’ll show the ice
  18. NorthArlington101
    18z normal EURO a hold.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Peep the digital snow thread post for what the GFS had 9 days ago for this storm. GFS is excellent in this range /s (but what if I’m not joking)
  20. NorthArlington101
    Pretty close. I can only get 24hrs we have to subtract from the previous storm. Add like 4” to that idk
  21. NorthArlington101
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  23. NorthArlington101
    I meant to say RUN it back. Let’s do it
  24. NorthArlington101
    It’s been an exhausting few weeks. Let’s roll it back.
  25. NorthArlington101
    LWX practically states this in their disco but assuming that their better access to internal snow model ratios is part of the reason they are perhaps more aggressive than some of us think they should be? Fairly “simple” boom scenario compared to 10:1 maps of initially really strong ratios, heavy WAA precip, and a slightly too aggressive warm nose? Realize that’s all a lot to ask for
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