NorthArlington101

Is the 00z out? I’ve only got 18z on WxBell, which wasn’t awesome, so it would be a good shift.

18z EURO held - just a little drier

Oh trust me I’m very concerned about it. I’d be less concerned if I was you just based on locations but we both could get mega screwed here. What’s funny is if things hold we’ll just be waiting for that band to form and praying for our nowcasting. Can’t really even watch it come in.

If this happens it’s high rates and crashing temperatures in the middle of the night. It’s not my concern maybe outside of right in the middle of Downtown DC (where I’m at lol)

GFS a teeny bit more NE but really just noise. Still fine around DC. Best stuff definitely NE MD plummeled

WxBell crawls for GEM maps so not yet. AFD is out btw - holding on advisories. I’ll let you copy paste

RGEM holds

That’s still okay. Now the 3k… no thanks lol.

CAD sloppiness is still possible in the pattern we're gonna enter, methinks. Not like cold is wiped from the continent.

sorry one more EPS post - this is the median. While the ens are obviously less dispersive so close in, it's still nice to see they very strongly agree with the OP (as opposed to yesterday where the 3-5" 12z EURO run was an outlier of outliers)

It's probably past time to look at the EPS but this is notably more generous/widespread than 06z, fwiw.

Kuchie is so marginally better for some/worse for others I didn't think it was worth any further damage to my reputation by posting it, but by popular demand: It's a nice run. I'm still honestly not super satisfied being on the SW end of this. Feels a bit like a heartbreaker. Would like another 50mi SW jump, not just to put me in the jackpot, but to add some fail insurance. Very little runway here