NorthArlington101

Some freezing rain west of I-95

I mean, idk, seems like it’ll snow a little tomorrow afternoon. Hopefully it’s a lil scenic out.

Someone order a clown map?

Not expecting much but I think people are ignoring this because they are done with winter. Most models showing a period of at least light snow Monday afternoon before a pause and mix-y stuff into Tuesday morning. Kinda doubt I see anything in the city but .5-1” for folks doesn’t seem unreasonable… ignoring the plausible glaze of ice.

GFS also is wintry enough to keep an eye open at

GFS as advertised is an interesting event… just a little too far south. Was norther with the real slug of precip though.

It’s been fairly consistent with a 3-5” hit somewhere. Usually over us. Can’t be a bad thing

I think the broader point is that verification scores aren’t gonna translate to specific areas for specific events… just not how it works. You can take or leave them as how a model performs if you want to but it’s kinda the only objective measure And it’s correct to say the AIFS was first to ID a big east coast storm. It was just wrong for us. But thr GFS was even more wrong!

EURO AI good. Dunno if I’ll make it to the normal one. Stormtracker is on his own

I must say this was an off run anyway - def a lot less put together of a storm. Little precarious

Looks fine

This before FRZA. Not awesome but I’d take it

AIFS stubbornly south - nada for us; little bit for Central VA

EURO also looking like a partial cave to the GFS - least a step in the right direction. dont get too excited - best panel

AIFS took a little leap north but as far as WxBell depicts the ptype its not snow