radarman

Dec 2015 was the second warmest on record at INL (soon to be 3rd). Also featured well BN snows. Figure some additional amount of climate warming, plus the (solar max related?) AO spike the last 2+ weeks, with a particularly hostile pacific and here we are. Certainly smashing a record by that much is noteworthy, but the cards appeared to be stacked against them from the get go this December.

I swear it isn't a matter of schadenfreude when I say that should the skiing out west be lackluster this year, after the true epicosity that was last year, I can't get too worked up about it. That said I was happy to see powder alert emails showing up in my mailbox yesterday from Sugar Bowl.

Berkshire East is open today and probably skiing pretty good on limited terrain. You give these places 36-48 hours to blast the guns and the surfaces improve immensely. With climo rapidly improving, even marginally BN nights and dry days will make for rapid expansion in the 1st week of Jan. Skiers were treated to a high end December up north, now we move onto carving and winter conditions.

Post rainstorm pattern as depicted looks ideal for pond ice formation. Shades of similarly snowless early Jan 2015. Edit- referring to the ice and the timing, not the pattern.

Agree. Times like these the skiing almost becomes secondary and the main attraction is just being there wandering around.

Love kicking off the season getting straight into the good stuff.

MRG announced opening on Thursday. Also keeping an eye out for the Mt Ellen uphill opening, really hoping they announce it tonight. Tomorrow looks primo. Even if not LP is allowing Castlerock access as of today, which wouldn't be a bad consolation prize.

I grew a ponytail just for this and now you're telling me it's not happening?

Yeah... it's not even close to 18 skiing wise. Sugarbush mid mountain had like 90" that month, and even in S VT we were skiing in 4' of pow at Magic, 100% open and in peak condition on 11/29.

FWIW my wife hit a deer and totaled her car a couple years ago and Plymouth Rock was fine. No issues, cut a check for the full value promptly, and gave her a good price. Granted the situation was pretty cut and dry, what with the fur still embedded in the vehicle and whatnot. Maybe more murkier situations of who's at fault are where the differences between companies show up?

the -3 novie with snow accums felt winter like at times. Not a complete loss.

A very poor man's version of such, but maybe best since?

Back to QC for a second... tell me the NOWdata high temps for all the coop sites in SNE isn't 10 degrees too high across the board yesterday (11/28). It's weird.

Not disagreeing with the idea that it's running hot, but could the fact that it's effectively a hilltop location factor in? I feel like this year especially we've had decent radiating conditions at times but not a lot of CAA. Are there any other trustworthy coops similarly situated relative to the surroundings? What say KTOL?

Had a quarter inch overnight here. We'll see if that LES band out in NYS can hold together this afternoon. Trajectory looks decent if so.

It's a smart move as long as the holes are all drilled straight. I've been waiting 12 mos for a refurbishment, with no spare

72" at this location in 13/14, well above normal, but March sucked (2"), only a quarter inch in Novie, and Jan below average. But Feb was pretty great.

Same here

Half inch here

I probably shouldn't get the least bit excited here, but this raised at least one eyebrow.

Water in the sound was about the same as Coast Guard beach in July

Several rounds of convective showers along 495 and the pike this afternoon. Temps were close to 50 though so no dice on mangled flakes. Low 40s I think we could have pulled it off. Gorgeous day on the Cape beforehand. Mid Novie is a great time to be there.

Finally made it to Treehouse in Sandwich. Nice spot, just don't try to come in the summer.

incredible... best ever... I believe Mt Ellen had something like 90" for Novie. And even further south, Magic was 100% open with 3-4' of pow by 11/29.

Our 1 minute update radar data has a ton of potential for training ML models. Have hundreds of terabytes of it. Starting to look into it now. Recently had a paper accepted that uses a non ML approach, run in parallel with parameterizations tweaked to produce an ensemble nowcast and converted to gridded risk for stochastic routing purposes. Every minute produces an updated grid of risk for every minute from 1-20 mins. (About 2 mins latent) But a single ML based deterministic nowcast would still be better it if were accurate.