USCG RS

For being only a minimal hurricane, Kone certainly looks quite amazing on radar

Still a bit broad, hut this has Charlie vibes currently. No, I am not calling for a Cat 4 hurricane at LF, but Debby has a lot of fuel to work with.

This seems to be happening quite frequently with a good bit of these landfalling GOM storms.

I am with you. Track was more or less exactly where I thought.. however, I seemed to have significantly overestimated the top winds. That withstanding, I would argue that I - you especially- was not quite as far off as it would look. The energy within this storm was quite impressive and had this tightened up just a bit more, Cat 2 would have been easily hit, perhaps even high end Cat 2. As you said, 12 more hours and well...

Side note - I will say nice analysis on your part here. I truly expected this to tighten up more rapidly then it did. In this manner, I am happy to be wrong and wanted to say nice job on your analysis. That withstanding, seeing observations, I do wonder if the energy of the storm and category 1 winds across a much broader area for an extended period of time actually is causing more damage than a Cat 3 at Landfall. I guess therein lies the two edged sword. Either way, a learning experience and something to tuck into the back of my head for the future.

I see this being a major at landfall. The circulation is immediately responding to a better environment. You have a slight disconnect in the varying levels with height, but it's already beginning to tighten up. Beryl is hitting very very warm waters, including shelf waters and friction will start playing a role as well, leading to further tightening imo.

Unfortunately I still this as rapidly exploding prior to landfall. The core is resilient. The water is incredibly warm. The shear and dry air are completely abating.

Given the synoptics, this makes the most sense to me to be honest. I have been - and still do- expect a major hit on Houston.

Exactly what I have been expecting/concerned about the past few days unfortunately. This core is incredibly resilient.

Dallas.

Look at that outflow both Poleward and Equatorward already. That core is resilient and in tact.

Respectfully, I think SE Texas should prepare for a major hurricane. I pray I'm wrong but.. That core is relatively in tact and it moved over less land than initially thought. Combine that with very warm waters and South Texas really needs to be on alert.

Now that the core is finally disrupted, perhaps we can see this truly weaken.

Scanners are saying that this tornado is a MILE AND A HALF wide.

Looks to have engulfed the entire city.

Tornado Emergency has been issued for Barnsdall

Barnsdall looks as if the entire town is about to be engulfed.

Barnsdall is about to take a direct hit from looks to be at least an EF4 tornado with a large to massive diameter.

This is a good quick explanation: https://phys.org/news/2016-08-difference-shallow-deep-earthquakes.html In general the depth between two, from what I have researched, appears that it would not make much difference in the grand scheme.

Yeah... that movie haunted my childhood.

Listen - I saw that movie and was like.. Hmm. Then Baltimore happened. Just saying

My apologies here, I did not mean to ignite a firestorm. I was trying to say it comfortingly.. but.... alas, I missed.

At least it looks like the main event was this morning and that these are aftershocks, rather than foreshocks (admittedly much more rare). That, or the US has taken North Koreas idea and began underground testing

Meteorology and seismology share some common ground, yet they represent distinct scientific disciplines. I suspect producers may assume all scientists are interchangeable, but in reality, understanding seismology requires independent study. While an atmospheric scientist might manage to gather basic knowledge through quick research, a deeper understanding typically necessitates dedicated study.