USCG RS
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Everything posted by USCG RS
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When there is a double low that actually develops, why does this happen? I have actually never understood the physic of this.
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Unfortunately, I am pretty buried in work right now, but initially it looked incorrect. I will go through it when I have a bit more time, though half the reason I asked for confirmation. I know glancing quickly and having a desire can easily skew perception.
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Given current OBS - Euro does not appear to be lining up. Unless I am just wishing here.. Can someone else confirm I am not crazy ?
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Its all at H5.
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Ill say it again - we cannot write this off, nor should any one be. We are very close to a huge hit - still. I said before this will likely come down to nowcast, and it will.
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Doesnt phase and therefore it shoots east. Gr.
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It appears significantly so... going to have to dive into the upper levels here and see why.
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Because the set up is incredibly fragile. A 1 hr difference in a vorticity is the entire ball game here for some folks. You are likely to see this bounce back W at 18z for the NAM. It is so incredibly delicate.
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Just a bit of a sloppier phase. The cleaner the phase, the more tucked this will be. A 3 hr (or less) difference is the difference of about 50-75 miles. We are not going to know that until game time.
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8" with blowing and drifting of snow actually will. I have seen blizzard warnings for 2-4" of snow. Once for 1-3".
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Yeah... That and I'm distracted with way too many emails right now.
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I definitely misread that. My apologies.
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Held par. Double Barrel low. 970ish just inside BM. Lower numbers though
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Sharpness of the Ridge out West and consequently, orientation of the trough.
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Really makes me more confident in my theory that the last month was just a weather pattern which played to the GFS biases rather than the GFS being a better model.
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I would say - the GFS has folded.
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Feb 2013 was right before my father passed. I will actually never forget how he explained he was so impressed that I was able to understand what was happening and the forecast I made. It was... a nice memory. Never knew blizzards and fathers were connected for some like it was for me. And again @Joe4alb my sincere condolences :/
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Man that sucks. It's tough to lose a parent, especially one you are close to :/
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Tbh, yes.
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God knows I have eaten enough crow in my lifetime
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Ahem
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Guess it's time to advise my clients to step up operations. Damn.
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With that H5 this forum *should* lose their mind in a minute
