JTA66
-
Posts
3,817 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by JTA66
-
Started the day off with a light shower. The sun came out for a bit this morning but have been under cloud cover since 11-ish. High so far is 72F, but currently sitting at 71F.
-
Winter 2018/2019 Professional Met Forecasts
JTA66 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Philadelphia Region
Early thoughts from Paul Pastelok of AccuWx -- leaning towards a hybrid El Nino (east/central based) with a +NAO. Let's hope that doesn't pan out cause that won't get it done for us. (Although it's hard to bet against a +NAO, seems like it's been years since we've had a sustained Atlantic block in the winter months.) -
Accuwx going with a warm, wet autumn for us with perhaps some tropical mischief. Sounds like the current pattern keeps rolling along.
-
July-Sept update... AccuWx going with temps and precip averaging near normal for our region. Bouts of severe wx still possible but the worst of it looks to be upstate NY and New England.
-
A quick follow up to the post above... Looks like their summer forecast is a continuation of the May-July period -- temps slightly above average with near normal precip. The big heat looks to stay out west over the Rockies. Above normal precip to our west/southwest (Ohio Valley region), this would lead to below average temps there. All in all, I could live with this. Not a fan of those summers where the AC runs weeks on end.
-
Bump... Just read Paul Pastelok's (AccuWx) thoughts on the May-July period. He's going with normal to slightly above normal temps. Cooling energy usage will be near average. Looks like near normal precipitation with below normal severe (but there will be some). Confidence is moderate. His June-Aug ideas will be out next week.
-
Lolz!! Now we know why we don't see more of Storm Ranger 10 ... http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/entertainment/television/Report-NBC-Bostons-Storm-Ranger-weather-truck-is-actually-based-in-Philly.html
-
Umm ... tomorrow night at 11:00, Ch 6 is issuing it's February Winter Outlook. Isn't winter about half over, and by tomorrow night, about 25% of Feb will be in the books?? Wonder if they'll go with BN temps and AN snowfall??
-
Paul, does Wxsim forecast wind speeds? Just wondering what it's showing for gusts with this storm. Thanks!
-
So, how 'bout that JB? (Just trying to get this thread back on topic.)
-
Great minds, brother!
-
^This. Ever since they went to the new format back in the spring, their wx segments have become unwatchable. Two minutes of reviewing temps across the region ... zzzzz! Hopefully it's because not much has happened since the blizzard last year, and if we do get a legit storm threat, they'll get back into the swing of things. Not sure if this is Glenn's idea or some new producer at the station.
-
Let's merge with the Central/Western States forum. Ray used to post from Elko when he lived out there, now we can return the favor!
-
Can we boo and throw snowballs??
-
I must say I was pleasantly surprised by how "bullish" Glenn is. I like him because he tends to be conservative and doesn't hype too much. Here's hoping his outlook verifies!!
-
I imagine Ch 6 will be little more than a rehash of AccuWx's forecast.
-
A little more detail about the above Accuwx forecast from the MA forum ... "According to Pastelok, accumulation may be limited in areas south of New York City, such as Philadelphia, D.C. and Baltimore. These areas will see a handful of changeover systems, where falling snow transitions to rain and sleet."
-
Granted, reading comprehension isn't my strong suite, but did DT skip #2? lolz! Anyway ... Last night's 0z Euro doesn't look as extreme, but still way to early to settle on any one outcome. Should be an interesting couple of days model watching!
-
Just watched JB's weekend video with his prelim winter ideas. After a warm Dec, he's going cold w/above average snowfall. I know ... shocking, right??
-
Here's an article about their 90-day forecasts ... http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/accuweather-90-day-forecast_us_57102676e4b06f35cb6f219a?ir=Science§ion=us_science&utm_hp_ref=science
-
The new format gave me a headache.
-
He just said on the 6:00 broadcast that we "get an extra hour of daylight on Sunday". You'd think he'd know better than that.
-
As I understand it, Glenn is out with the flu. Doug is filling in and that's why there's been line up changes. Hope you're feeling better soon, Glenn!
-
Phil agrees with JB.
-
I thought Bernie Rayno made an interesting point yesterday -- he sited the old Norm MacDonald rule of thumb, that the latitude at which a storm enters North America tends to be the latitute it exits. Nothing is ever 100% in weather, but it's something to keep an eye on.