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FXWX

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by FXWX

  1. FXWX
    Just getting back to work, and it appears the Euro has joined the wind party...
  2. FXWX
    No clue what any storm would look like yet, but do like the fact that we continue to see signals for an active pattern during the last 7 to 10 days of the month... Maybe we ended with just rain across SNE, but potential is there for a colder setup compared to what we have seen during recent past holiday periods has me intrigued... Like many recent years, we likely won't be dealing with a long duration cold pattern anytime soon, but there will be windows for some "well-timed" events, if luck is on our side?
  3. FXWX
    I wish it was just stupidity... Unfortunately it's designed deceit!!!
  4. FXWX
    Thanks Wolfie? Love the location... 1,200' elevation, few hundred feet from Litchfield cty border... Do you teach in Southington?
  5. FXWX
    Certainly a great wintery feel & look!
  6. FXWX
    Nevermind it was sitting right there all the time.... Don't know how my aging eyes missed it...
  7. FXWX
    Been trying to find that snow report graph... Is that somewhere on the BOX homepage?
  8. FXWX
    Can you share the link for this product?
  9. FXWX
    5.5"
  10. FXWX
    Better luck next time...
  11. FXWX
    4.5" total now at 1,200' in Burlington, CT
  12. FXWX
    3.0" here at 1,200'
  13. FXWX
    Desktop is working on mine...
  14. FXWX
    Tough call as to how far north you have to go up the I-91 corridor to get more than a slushy cover or an inch?
  15. FXWX
    Litchfield City on into the high terrain areas of far western/northwestern HFD cty and then Northern Tolland on into northern Windham counties would be where I'd expect advisory statements.
  16. FXWX
    Yes it does... And makes lots sense...
  17. FXWX
    That's why the issuance of maps for many areas has to accompanied by a detailed topo discussion; better yet an in-person phone conversation. There is almost no way to accurately depict the gradient across your area; same for portions of western & west-central CT.
  18. FXWX
    Just under an inch here in Burlington, CT!
  19. FXWX
    I've been looking at the Probabilistic Precipitation Portal Maps (https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/) ... Their blend of models for the maps is shown in the attached text image. A combo of these maps and the HREF suite is my starting point, which I then tweak. The occasionally have a bias of being a bit too conservative but overall do a decent job.
  20. FXWX
    Agree... Waiting game right now... Some consistent signals that it happens far enough east focus best rates from northeast CT on north and east into interior eastern Mass.
  21. FXWX
    While I would remain cautious about some of increasing totals in this morning's short range guidance, there is a solid trend towards juicing this system up, as noted by Wiz... Probably going to be a 2-3 hour period of enhanced rates across parts of the region?
  22. FXWX
    Multiple levels of sw wind at that!
  23. FXWX
    We will see... Would be perfectly happy to see a normal to modestly above normal (+1 to +3) mid to late December... But fear the ability of our current climo trend to bust warmer than expected!
  24. FXWX
    All I know is, the last several winters have almost always seen extended period moderating periods verifying even warmer than originally modeled, while modeled cold periods ended up shorter than first expected? This repeating winter theme is getting old. I know right now the Pacific looks different than the last couple of Decembers, but the same scenario is in play? Hopefully trends move in a more favorable direction for the midmonth period, but who knows!
  25. FXWX
    Sometimes bigger is not better? Puns aside, I'm not always a fan of highly anomalous features trying to deliver. Potential to squash a storm event in increases. Fun to watch for sure, especially compared to lots of failed early winter patterns of late.
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