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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    I kind of like overnight at least for some heavy rain.
  2. WxWatcher007
  3. WxWatcher007
    Yep. This has potential to be higher end overall (not necessarily everywhere) in its own right.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Well folks, with everyone on board for the first time, we now have a Step 4 day. History
  5. WxWatcher007
    51k ft top per RadarScope enhanced echo tops.
  6. WxWatcher007
    It’s 68 and the average high is like 85. That’s pretty chilly to me.
  7. WxWatcher007
    .90” on the day. Cold and rainy one.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Yep, been watching that one. Looks like a hook trying to form now on reflectivity.
  9. WxWatcher007
    When you have the out of region heavy hitters watching and posting, you know you have something legit on your hands. These early cells look intense. Still watching that one west of Hagerstown. Hail look to that one now with another big cell developing north just over the MD/PA border.
  10. WxWatcher007
    I'd watch the cell west of Hagerstown too. Some broad rotation has been consistent.
  11. WxWatcher007
    Storm out near Kingwood is a beast
  12. WxWatcher007
    68° here at 1pm with drizzle lol
  13. WxWatcher007
    Aside from the mod risk, that’s a massive area with enhanced risk along the east coast.
  14. WxWatcher007
    .53” on the day
  15. WxWatcher007
    Good luck chasing today.
  16. WxWatcher007
    It has been a very good summer. Aside from the rain, maybe nothing high end, but it has been active, which I’d prefer over one interesting day and boring all the rest (unless it’s tropical)
  17. WxWatcher007
    Meanwhile, we’ll whine about temps and dews. I’m such a weenie. I literally went on a 5,000 mile storm chase a month ago and had two FF events imby and I want more. I’m ill.
  18. WxWatcher007
    Yeah, I don’t think this is one of those days where cloud cover throws a big wrench into things. Like EJ said earlier, I think it’s more likely the soundings are oriented a little differently than initially proved but don’t see evidence of that either currently. It’s a hurry up and wait kind of day.
  19. WxWatcher007
    They actually have to produce but man what a day it could be down there. I was just in DC
  20. WxWatcher007
    Honest to God can’t believe DC got high end severe 48 hours before I arrived and has a moderate risk 72 hours after I leave. I’m cursed
  21. WxWatcher007
    Yes, definitely a three until Ellinwood cancels his chase or EJ goes all in. Literally mirroring a moderate risk lol.
  22. WxWatcher007
    Oh there’s an EML on the table tomorrow? That would explain it I think. I’ve been so busy I admittedly haven’t looked deeply.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Can I ask a dumb question? Is it possible the 45% for DC is partially based on what you all saw last week? As in, we see a stronger wind forecast this time given what the last setup produced?
  24. WxWatcher007
    I wouldn’t ignore the fact that it’s not a more “trusted” tropical model. I do think it’s useful to see a modest signal for TC genesis on the ensembles, but it doesn’t look like a strong signal for a development window, which is obviously the first step.
  25. WxWatcher007
    It’s not much, but there could be a window for some W Atlantic development in the next 7-10 days with a weak signal on the ensembles. There are waves out there, it’s just tough sledding for anything to pop right now.
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