It looks like the tropics will continue to have somewhat favorable conditions into early July, with another CCKW possibility traversing the Atlantic.
There’s a weak signal on ensemble guidance for activity in the southern Gulf, and a possible CV wave developing.
The signal is a little more robust with the CV wave, but the problem is while climo starts to open up for those waves to develop in July, the MDR is still historically hostile then. Something to casually watch.