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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Yeah—that too. I’m not as well versed with the wave breaking and TUTT connection, but that hasn’t helped. As I said in the tropical forum, if a wave isn’t suffocated by dry air it’s getting thrown through the wood chipper of shear. I’d expect that to relax in September, but we’re staring down a shutout August which nobody expected so who knows.
  2. WxWatcher007
    It’s why I love tropical. So complex. I’m really only scratching the surface. It’s incredible. Dry air/Stability has been a killer in the MDR this year.
  3. WxWatcher007
    If you’re talking about August, I think I agree. September will have more than 1 NS/hurricane/major IMO. Even if the eastern MDR continues to suck, the Caribbean should start opening up and it shouldn’t have the same dry air and stability issues. Not sure about shear if this WB keeps happening.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Well, if the tropics continue to suck at least fall and football will be here. I still think the peak will be good but we’ve been on a heater with tropical for a half decade now. That’s going to cool off at some point soon if it isn’t already here. I’ll be chasing 6” Midwest blizzards and -5° Moose Knuckle low temps if we continue winter futility here.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Hopefully the rubber band snaps back soon. Not holding my breath.
  6. WxWatcher007
    It would have been nice to see a quick spin up, but that’s just not the basin environment we have. Whatever develops here and elsewhere in the tropical Atlantic is going to go through a prolonged and ugly process. The further south and west a disturbance is, away from dry/stable air and shear by incessant wave breaking induced shear, will have better odds. Problem is a wave has to avoid being suffocated by dry air or run through the wood chipper by shear before getting to the fabled Goldilocks zone.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Residents hearing the sound of a boat sloshing through the flood, looking out the window watching Phil sail by saying “Now that’s a lot of worter”
  8. WxWatcher007
    I had .03” in that one.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Too much rain?
  10. WxWatcher007
    They’re all different, but yeah.
  11. WxWatcher007
    I’ve got some WOR folks very upset with today’s outcome.
  12. WxWatcher007
    1.30” here at home. High rain rate of 2.6”/hr. I guess I got lucky
  13. WxWatcher007
    The damn gutter had a clog. Water was flowing over the gutter and into the window. No major damage thankfully.
  14. WxWatcher007
    Wife calls me during a meeting to let me know the living room in my new house took on water. Christ.
  15. WxWatcher007
    Pouring here in Hartford. It’s beautiful.
  16. WxWatcher007
    Yeah this should be an interesting one to track. It has potential, but it’s heavily dependent on an environment we’re not quite sure about yet.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Radar looks solid for central and eastern CT.
  18. WxWatcher007
    Seems a little early for an invest, but I guess we get extra data. SHIPS has a pretty hostile environment ahead, consistent with my thought (and operational guidance) that this doesn’t develop until it reaches 60W at least.
  19. WxWatcher007
    Nice. Good luck!
  20. WxWatcher007
    We don’t do patience well around here lol
  21. WxWatcher007
    College?
  22. WxWatcher007
    There may be some serious melts if this underperforms
  23. WxWatcher007
  24. WxWatcher007
    I'm not on board for the widespread 1.5-2", but I think anything less than .50" imby would be a fail. My guess is I'll end up somewhere around .75 for the two days.
  25. WxWatcher007
    We don't spike yet. Still time for a fail. Got my fingers crossed for this one. It looks good here.
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