WxWatcher007

Another reason we love Colorado

Looking toward Farmington.

The anvil from that Windsor Locks cell from East Hartford…

Damn there’s a 50k ft top on that Windsor Locks cell per RadarScope.

Day 4 of the heat wave. 90.2 here.

When are we doing a meet up again lol

Outside of a dry line out west, I have to say I didn’t know that kind of thing happened around here.

There’s a 10° dew point difference between BDL (59) and HFD (69). Pretty interesting for such a short distance. Only a two degree air temp difference.

I might know a guy. Comes highly recommended. Cash only.

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Jun 6 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea by Thursday or Friday. Some gradual development will be possible thereafter as the system moves slowly northwestward toward Central America. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Stewart

92.0 at noon. Impressive temp rise.

90.1/67 here. Day two locked up.

The pattern mid month looks ripe for some development to take place. The ensembles have been showing the potential for almost a week now, which is meaningful IMO at such a long lead. Models aside, climo, the SST profile, and coming favorable conditions to the Gulf/Western Caribbean brought by the MJO and perhaps a CCKW favor a window for development. We're in wait and see mode but I think something will pop.

Pretty strong EPS signal at this lead for a (nontropical) low to form along the front. Too bad the SSTs off the coast are frigid up this way lol.

I guarantee you some people thought he was serious

2014 was awesome. I think lol.

High of 91 here. First day of the heat wave in the books.

Remember, last year we needed overtime to decide the winner. I’m coming for the crown this year. DCA: 99 IAD: 97 BWI: 100 RIC: 101

85.9/68 here at home.

Got a good local chase in today.

Good stuff today. Drove down to the Marlborough/East Hampton to chase the cell. Ended up encountering torrential rain and flash flooding so I had to pull off for a bit. Caught small hail accumulation on the way back. Terrain is awful in CT for a chase but you make it work. Edit: one more

I ended up chasing it. Too late to see the severe hail but it was a good storm with flooding and hail. Will post more later.

That cell north of Marlborough looks pretty good. Kinda surprised it isn’t severe warned for hail.

The signal I started talking about earlier in the week is growing. As you can see below, I think it’s fair to say the environment will be favorable especially the latter portion of next week. Two areas to watch IMO 1) The western Caribbean/Bay of Campeche—this is far and away the prime zone as a CAG develops and shear drops off next week. High likelihood something pops here. 2) SE US Coast—the likelihood is much lower here given the lack of warm SSTs at the moment but as a font sinks down next week there could be something subtropical or weak tropical that pops along that area of focus. 12z GFS hints at it and both the GEFS/EPS have some low probabilities there.