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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    @MillvilleWx
  2. WxWatcher007
    What an insane storm.
  3. WxWatcher007
    Y'all the GFS does this every year. If a wave can make it to the Caribbean then we can talk. Despite incredibly favorable conditions for much of the season, the Caribbean has been devoid of meaningful activity.
  4. WxWatcher007
    What’s the biggest wind event you’ve had there?
  5. WxWatcher007
    Just looked into that more for the first time, and man, what a beast. The wind gusts were legit. I miss the days of the big dogs.
  6. WxWatcher007
    Didn’t impact me but the one big fire hose I remember was like a week after the Great Blizzard of 2013. I think @ORH_wxman and points east got smoked.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Very interesting end to the season with the most recent focus of TC genesis on Karen/Lorenzo. The next wave is one to watch as it’s a true low rider. Not sure it’ll develop in time for my peak season forecast but we’ll see. Could be an issue in the Caribbean long term. Meanwhile models are a touch split on whether Lorenzo survives or quickly dissipates.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Lorenzo is here. Tropical Atlantic producing more than the climo favored areas Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 10 (7) Hurricanes: 6 (3) Major Hurricanes: 3 (2) Fernand, Gabrielle (MH), Humberto (MH), Imelda (H), Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo
  9. WxWatcher007
    Updated the title as this never gained any subtropical characteristics
  10. WxWatcher007
    1.11
  11. WxWatcher007
    .67” so far at WXW1.
  12. WxWatcher007
  13. WxWatcher007
    Models were bad on holding a signal for TC genesis, bad on initially predicting Jerry wouldn’t impact the islands, and then were even worse modeling the environment that led to Jerry’s untimely demise. Rough storm for the guidance on balance.
  14. WxWatcher007
    Looks like a robust wave too. That may be about it for the Atlantic though the GFS wants to develop two waves in the next 10 days. Pretty surprising that nothing has had a chance in the Caribbean or Gulf this season.
  15. WxWatcher007
    Remember that winter a few years ago where it seemed like every good storm track had some weird dual low structure?
  16. WxWatcher007
    Euro flapping around more than a fish out of water
  17. WxWatcher007
    Get well soon
  18. WxWatcher007
    Oh it’s a lot of fun lol
  19. WxWatcher007
    This setup would probably be a disaster in the winter. A weak storm occluding well south of us with persistent easterly flow sounds like marginal temps with a shredded precipitation shield. Maybe the high would save some of us in the forum but idk here in CT.
  20. WxWatcher007
    Jesus, I was just looking back at my winter wx records. No wonder why winter is my least favorite season now. 2014-15: 27.3" (DC) 2015-16: 28.5" (DC) 2016-17: 5.6" (DC) 2017-18: 12.5" (DC) 2018-19: 30.3" (CT) 2019-20: 16.5" (CT) 2020-21: 44.5" (CT) 2021-22: 28.8" (CT) 2022-23: 13.7" (CT) 2023-24: 24.7" (CT) 2024-25: 19.8" (CT) Unmitigated disaster. For the love of God let's turn this around.
  21. WxWatcher007
    That’s why Miller A’s are the gold standard.
  22. WxWatcher007
    30.2° at WXW1 25.7° at WXW2 (SLK reached 19°)
  23. WxWatcher007
    Surprise! Karen is here. Jerry is struggling and MH is looking unlikely, but H is still in the forecast. Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 10 (6) Hurricanes: 6 (3) Major Hurricanes: 3 (2) Fernand, Gabrielle (MH), Humberto (MH), Imelda (H), Jerry, Karen
  24. WxWatcher007
  25. WxWatcher007
    Crazy stuff but yeah, that’s probably a TC or STS.
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