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bristolri_wx

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Everything posted by bristolri_wx

  1. At least the CANSIPS shows the expected variability of temps/weather. I’ve found the CFS is always too warm, even when it’s correct on it being warm, and it doesn’t show much below average anomalies. Even in a climate where we expect places to be warmer, there is usually places that end up cooler as well. The CANSIPS seems to illustrate that premise.
  2. The CFS thinks the earth is on fire all the time. CANSIPS DJF 25/26:
  3. The 18z operational runs already cut back on the precip as well.
  4. In all fairness the operational runs at 12z were all much juicier than their ensembles. Ensembles show around 1" of rain through Monday morning. Neither Stein nor Noah on the way...
  5. Sounds good to me. I’m fond of the coc but not of the swamp ass. I’ll take high 70’s and low 80’s with dews in the 50’s and low 60’s every day.
  6. Next year I’m posting a “count down to swamp ass” thread. This year it was April 17.
  7. Not trying to provoke anyone but where is this warmth after the 20th? Was looking at the ensembles and doesn't look like anything more than a day or two above before back to normal or below for a couple of days. Looks more like a roller coaster in temps. Am I missing something?
  8. Terrible out here in East Bay RI and SE MA. Cloudy rainy, drizzle, 40. Plus every store is jammed up more than usual since no one wants to be outside.
  9. I’m more in your camp than Kevin’s but I feel like I need to see how summer and fall play out to buy in. That cooler and drier pattern locked in for about 5 months before letting up this past year. If it’s warm and wet for several months going into November and will take more than models and analogs to buy in. I’m not going on anything other than it looks like we could be in a warm wet pattern for a while over the next several months, which shouldn’t be an influence on the upcoming Winter… but…
  10. Stein slowly but steadily fading away...
  11. Can't fault you for thinking that until we see a pattern that shows us otherwise...
  12. 42 and drizzle here but it’s feels worse. Weather tunes of the day:
  13. Has it ever been 38 in Thompson and 75 in Greenwich at the exact same time. That’s quite a gradient!
  14. I would give this winter a C-. At least it felt cold and wintry even though we didn't get much snow. Definitely better than last year. Room for improvement for Winter 25-26.
  15. The extended range 0z GEFS doesn't look great. A couple of brief torches, but overall looks cool/seasonable. Not a "70's and sun for a few days" look until at least the later half of the month. Not seeing a furnace.
  16. The back door karma front is coming to ruin the Saturday torch...
  17. Clover naturally fertilizes your lawn with nitrogen. If you don't want to "deal with shit" in terms of a lawn, a drought resistant fescue mix with white clover or micro-clover mixed in is the real deal. I've been gradually converting my yard over to this and these are the parts of the lawn that now look the best. It can look uneven at times but looks great after a fresh cut when the clover and the grass are both growing.
  18. Feeling like it’s going to be a cool dry month south of the pike with not much snow. Still a better winter than last year. At least felt like winter for long stretches even if there wasn’t much snow.
  19. I’m impressed it stayed below 40 for so long today down here. The hi-res hourly models keep revising the temp rise, and at one point 50 was predicted this far up the bay but no longer. Surprised I still have an inch of slop on the ground that’s going to freeze up tonight.
  20. Ended up being about 3” here by the time I got outside. I’m sure if I was measuring the official way it was probably 4” before compaction. Quite heavy and sticky to shovel.
  21. A storm so strong it changed the map of the coastline!
  22. I look forward to a revolution of common sense in your AWX posts in the future!
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