@raindancewxI'm not quite sure what's rubbing you the wrong way, but you need to get over it. I've been following this thread since it started since Winter is the weather season I'm most interested in. Numerous times you have posted your opinions here on this thread, and they've been met with interest, none negative. Yet, when posters have replied to you with additional questions or more opinion, you really haven't provided any.
I went back and re-read this entire thread just because it's a slow work day (I'm stuck in front of a computer 65 hrs a week), and only once Ray mentioned that he thought he might have some confidence that a warm-neutral ENSO state would occur this winter season. And in fact, a week later he posted a link to his blog that he was NOT confident that would be the case, and pointed to a weak La Niña instead as more of a possibility. You didn't need a PhD in English to get the point.
I enjoy reading your long term forecast and analog ideas when you post them here, but I'm not sure why the lash-out at Ray. He doesn't need me or anyone else to defend him. Nobody here is making guaranteed Fall/Winter ENSO forecasts in the April through June timeframe, and I don't believe anyone here thought that to be the case as this thread has evolved. If anything, there's been much more chatter about 24-25 being a warm ENSO than anything else.
I highly recommend not following the "Summer's Eve Guide to Posting on Internet Forums, 3rd edition." vebatim, as it does you no favors. Now back to our regularly scheduled winter conjecture.