Yes it’s possible. Elevation comes into play. For example, last nights event, I had 0.50” on grassy surfaces for the total accumulation. At 125’ in elevation on Storm King mountain, there was 3” at 1,100’.
Till the next run. It’s like throwing darts. We do know it’s a high probability of a strong storm. These slight shifts in model runs can go up to nowcast time.
Was in the town of Newburgh about 30 minutes ago it was mostly a mixed bag and 34 degrees. Here in New Windsor currently 35 degrees with ice pellets mixed in and 0.24” in the tipper.